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Any time it is snowing when Joe Commuter gets up in the morning, he misjudges how long it will take him to drive to work.

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Any time it is snowing when Joe Commuter gets up in the morning, he misjudges how long it will take him to drive to work. When it is not snowing, his expectations of the driving time are perfectly accurate. Considering that it snows only once every 10 years where Joe lives, Joe's expectations are almost always perfectly accurate. Are Joe's expectations rational? Why or why not

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