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Apnex, Inc., is a biotechnology firm that is about to announce the results of its clinical triass of a potential new cancer drug. If the
Apnex, Inc., is a biotechnology firm that is about to announce the results of its clinical triass of a potential new cancer drug. If the trials are successful, Apnex stock will be worth $66 per share. If the trials are unsuccessful, Apnex stock will be worth $19 per share. Suppose that the moming before the announcement is scheduled, Apnex shares aro trading for $53 per share a. Based on the current share price, what sort of expectations do investors seem to have about the success of the trials? b. Suppose hedge fund manager Paul Kliner has hired soveral prominent resoarch scientists to examine the public data on the drug and make their own assessment of the drug's promise. Would Kliner's fund be likely to profit by trading the stock in the hours prior to the announcement? c. Which factors would limit the ability of Kliner's fund to profit on its information? a. Based on the current share price, what sort of expectations do investors seem to have about the success of the frials? (Select the best choice beiow) A. The market seems to expect a 50% decline in the stock price. B. The market seems to have no clue about what will happen to the stock price. C. The market seems to believe the trials will not be successful. D. The market seems to assess a somewhat greater than 50% chance of success. b. Suppose hedge fund manager Paul Kliner has hired several prominent research scientists to examine the public data on the drug and make their own assessment of the drug's promise. Would Kliner's fund be likely to profit by trading the stock in the hours prior to the announcement? Kliner's fund would likely (Select the best choice below.) A. profit, since the data on the drug is public. B. profit, if they have better information than other investors. C. lose money, since nobody can predict what the stock market is going to do. D. do nothing, since that would be insider trading c. Which factors would limit the ability of Kliner's fund to profit on its information? The limitation to the fund's ability to profit is that (Select the best choice below.) A. the stock price may be low prior to the announcement. B. the market may be illiquid - no one wants to trade if they know Kliner has better information. C. since the information on the drug is public, everybody knows what Kliner knows. D. Kliner might not have enough money to profit with this trade
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