Argelia is talking to her friend Adam about kayak fishing. She has been fishing many times on the Broad River, but she has never recorded the number or types of fish she caught on her trips. She also has no idea how many fish are in the Broad River. Based on her experience, she tells Adam, that if they go fishing there next weekend, she would bet that he would have a 90% chance of catching a fish.

Is this subjective, experimental or theoretical probability?

Why is the Law of Large Numbers important and how it relates to experimental and theoretical probability and why theoretical probability can't be used all the time.

A bag has 5 apples, 10 oranges, and 5 peaches.

What is the probability of pulling out an apple?

P(A) = ____ (fraction) - ____ (decimal) = ______ %

This is an example of _______ probability.

The sample space is S - {______________}

In this case, the "event" is?

What is the probability of pulling out an orange?

P(O) = _____ (fraction) = ______ (decimal) = _____%

Which is most likely to occur? Pulling out an apple or pulling out an orange?

Why? (Because the probability is closer to 0 or because the probability is closer to 1)

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