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As an analyst at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, you are evaluating European call futures option and European put futures options. A futures price is

As an analyst at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, you are evaluating European call futures option and European put futures options. A futures price is currently $50. It is expected to move either to $55 or down to $45 over the next three month. The risk-free interest rate is 8% per annum with continuous compounding. Please answer the following questions related to the one-month futures call options and put options with a strike price of 49.

a. What is the probability of an up movement in a risk-neutral world? [x] (sample answer: 35.50%) b. What is the futures call option delta? [s] (sample answer: 0.45) c. What is the futures put option delta? [t] (sample answer: -0.45) d. What is the value of the call option? [y] (sample answer: $1.45) e. What is the value of the put option? [z] (sample answer: $1.45)

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