Asset 1 Market Condition Return Probability Good 16 1 Average 12 % Poor 8 % Asset 3 Market Condition Return Probability Good 20 % Average 14 % Poor 8 Asset 2 Market Condition Return Probability Good 4 3 Average 6 % Poor 8 % Asset 4 Rainfall Return Probability Plentiful 16 2 Average 12 l: Light 3 %