Assignment 1 requires you to calculate joint probabilities and to develop a decision tree based on the hypothetical stock prices for the major US banks provided in the dataset provided for this course. In doing so, you need to do the following:

 

Calculate the probability for price gains and losses based on the 4th quarter of 2021;

 

Calculate the joint probabilities for the 4th quarter gains and losses for 2022.

 Assignment 1, select the hypothetical data for Citibank, Chase, PNC, or Wells Fargo.

  

Address each of the following questions:

What is the decision-making or management issue being addressed?

What data are used to answer the decision-making or management issues?

What is the analytical method used to analyze the data?

What are the findings of the data analyses?

What are the decision-making I management implications of the findings?

45 13-Aug-21 46 20-Aug-21 47 27-Aug-21 48 3-Sep-21 49 10-Sep-21 50 17-Sep-21 51 24-Sep-21 52 1-Oct-21 53 8-Oct-21 54 15-Oct-21 55 22-Oct-21 56 29-Oct-21 57 5-Nov-21 58 12-Nov-21 59 19-Nov-21 60 26-Nov-21 61 3-Dec-21 62 10-Dec-21 63 17-Dec-21 64 24-Dec-21 65 31-Dec-21 66 67 68 BRENN 69 70 71 72 73 74 Ready 99.87 92.23 99.71 97.12 92.69 73.13 78.47 97.17 96.77 74.69 92.22 87.16 96.94 87.24 87.82 89.91 79.89 87.46 99.70 94.06 96.44 82.70 99.45 97.25 88.12 77.88 89.27 97.25 94.89 90.69 99.01 97.12 73.39 94.49 99.95 97.25 98.26 81.60 99.60 97.25 99.94 86.21 96.52 97.25 92.35 86.24 78.87 97.17 99.23 74.71 78.40 94.50 79.53 89.41 83.45 82.57 81.26 86.90 92.90 94.23 99.86 76.76 99.80 94.34 76.99 83.95 86.79 94.48 97.43 78.32 99.97 89.91 67.85 85.49 88.71 91.35 93.20 93.87 78.75 94.34 88.62 85.49 80.47 72.48 US Banks Accessibility: Good to go esc + 1 Q @ 2 W 80 # 3 93.26 97.13 97.12 97.25 77.98 89.64 87.36 83.79 91.67 94.52 97.12 94.50 98.94 97.25 103.76 109.81 97.12 116.31 108.63 101.13 94.02 E LA DOC 000 $ 4