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Assume that Sam Co. will receive MXP800,000 in 90 days. Today's spot rate of the Mexican Pesos is $0.040, and the 90-day forward rate is

  1. Assume that Sam Co. will receive MXP800,000 in 90 days. Today's spot rate of the Mexican Pesos is $0.040, and the 90-day forward rate is $.050. Sam has developed the following probability distribution for the spot rate in 90 days:

Possible Spot Rate

in 90 Days

Probability

$.041

10%

$.043

20%

$.045

40%

$.055

30%

The probability that the forward hedge will result in more dollars received than not hedging is:

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