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Assume you have estimated the following probabilities of and state prices (discount factors) for these potential future Good (G), Normal (N), and Bad (B) economic
Assume you have estimated the following probabilities of and state prices (discount factors) for these potential future Good (G), Normal (N), and Bad (B) economic states (1 year out). Prob[G]=30% ; TIN = Prob[N]=50% ; Prob[B]=20%. Do = Priceto[$1 [G] = $0.7 ; DN = Priceto[$1 [N] = $0.9 ; DB = Priceto[$1 |B] = $1.4 TAG = TTB = = = (1) What is the risk free rate? (2) You know about asset X that would pay either $50 in the Good state (G), or $34 in the Normal state (N), or $10 if the Bad economic state happens next period. (a) What is the current (time to) price of asset X : PO ? (b) What is the expected payoff of this asset: E[CFt] ? (C) Assuming you buy X now at its fair price, what is the expected rate of return: E[R] ? Assume you have estimated the following probabilities of and state prices (discount factors) for these potential future Good (G), Normal (N), and Bad (B) economic states (1 year out). Prob[G]=30% ; TIN = Prob[N]=50% ; Prob[B]=20%. Do = Priceto[$1 [G] = $0.7 ; DN = Priceto[$1 [N] = $0.9 ; DB = Priceto[$1 |B] = $1.4 TAG = TTB = = = (1) What is the risk free rate? (2) You know about asset X that would pay either $50 in the Good state (G), or $34 in the Normal state (N), or $10 if the Bad economic state happens next period. (a) What is the current (time to) price of asset X : PO ? (b) What is the expected payoff of this asset: E[CFt] ? (C) Assuming you buy X now at its fair price, what is the expected rate of return: E[R]
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