AVM 3201 - Aviation Planning Paper Outline Deer Valley Airport - Existing Conditions, Forecasts, Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study AVM 3201 PAPER OUTLINE DEER VALLEY AIRPORT (DVT) INSTRUCTIONS This is an individual project that is each student must submit a paper. This paper is mandatory meaning a final course grade of F will be received for this course if it is not submitted. You may, however, collaborate with just one other student in the class when making your calculations. If you choose to collaborate with another student, you and the other student must make a statement at the end of the paper which states that \"I collaborated with - student name - on this paper\". 1. Conduct an inventory of and document the existing conditions at Deer Valley Airport, Phoenix, Arizona. 2. Develop a forecast of total annual demand for the airport using a trend analysis. 3. Determine hourly capacity, hourly delay and annual service volume for Deer Valley Airport using the short-term planning methodology and FAA Figures provided in FAA Advisory Circular AC 150/5060-5, Airport Capacity and Delay. This methodology is also provided in Chapter 5 of your course textbook. 4. Select a suitable alternative site for Deer Valley Airport that could serve the same population as the existing airport. 5. Document your findings in a written paper. 6. Submit your word or pdf document in the CANVAS dropbox provided before midnight on Wednesday, November 4th 2015. Papers not placed in the dropbox will receive a grade of F. 7. Your documentation should be in the form of a written paper that includes the following sections: 1.1 AIRPORT BACKGROUND This section should identify as a minimum the name and geographic location of the airport, its role or classification in the NPIAS. You may include brief history of the airport, figures and other background information available. Sources: Current NPIAS at www.faa.gov, www.airnav.com and airport website if available. 1.2 EXISTING AIRPORT FACILITIES This section should describe the airfield facilities (runways, navigational and lighting aids) and the landside (hangars and building) facilities or businesses located on the airport. If an airport diagram is available include it as a figure. Sources include: FAA Form 5010 at www.gcr1.com, www.airnav.com and airport website if available. Page 1 of 13 AVM 3201 - Aviation Planning Paper Outline Deer Valley Airport - Existing Conditions, Forecasts, Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study 1.3 HISTORICAL AVIATION ACTIVITY This section should describe the types and levels of aviation activity at the airport over the past 20 years. It should include tables and figures as appropriate. The tabulated data should include the number of based aircraft, the number of annual airport operations and the split between air carrier, air taxi, general aviation and military operations as applicable. As a minimum, 20 years of historical data should be provided. Sources of data include: the FAA TAF and FAA ATADS/OPSNET at http://aspm.faa.gov 1.4 ANNUAL OPERATIONS, ADPM, PEAK HOUR FORECASTS This section should include a forecast of total annual operations for Deer Valley Airport for the years 2014 through to 2025 using a trend analysis. Your trend analysis should be based on the 20 years of data. In addition, develop forecast for the Average Day Peak Month and Peak Hour operation in the years 2020 and 2025. In the Year 2020 the peak month will be March and is 9.5 percent of annual operations. In addition, peak hour operations are 6 percent of operations during the average day of the peak month. In the Year 2025 the peak month will also be March and is 9.3 percent of annual operations and peak hour operations are 5.5 percent of operations during the average day of the peak month. 1.1 HOURLY CAPACITY This section should report on the determination of hourly capacity for the airport for the years 2020 and 2025. The Airport will close Runway 7R-25L, below, in the Year 2025 for reconstruction. Explain why there are differences in hourly capacity between the five runwayuse configurations. To complete this section you will need to determine the separation between the runways and the available runway exit locations measured as distance from threshold in google earth. . The runway-use configurations and the percent of the time they are used are shown in the tables below for the future Years 2020 and 2025. The arrows pointing towards a runway end indicate arrivals on that threshold and those pointing away from a runway indicate the direction of departures from the runway. Page 2 of 13 AVM 3201 - Aviation Planning Paper Outline Deer Valley Airport - Existing Conditions, Forecasts, Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study NO. Future Conditions - Year 2020 Runway Use Configurations Percent Use VFR Conditions Percent Use Conditions IFR 1 80% 2% 10% 2% 5% 1% 2 3 NO. Future Conditions - Year 2025 Runway Use Configurations Percent Use VFR Conditions Percent Use Conditions 4 85% 2.5% 10% 2.5% 5 The following additional information is given to complete your hourly capacity calculations: Hourly Demand The hourly demand for the Years 2020 and 2025 is presented below. Aircraft Class A B C D Hourly Demand - Year 2020 Number of Aircraft Operations VFR IFR 50 15 20 15 10 10 0 0 Page 3 of 13 IFR AVM 3201 - Aviation Planning Paper Outline Deer Valley Airport - Existing Conditions, Forecasts, Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study Aircraft Class A B C D Hourly Demand - Year 2025 Number of Aircraft Operations VFR IFR 52 15 23 15 15 15 0 0 Percent Arrivals The percentage of arrivals for the Year 2020 is 60 percent during VFR conditions and 40 percent during IFR conditions. It is anticipated that these percentages will remain the same during the year 2025. Touch and Go Operations The table below presents the number of touch and go operations during the hour for the years under consideration. Year 2020 2025 Touch and Go Operations Number of Touch & Go Operations VFR IFR 11 0 13 0 1.2 HOURLY DELAY This section should report on the determination of hourly delay for the airport for the years 2020 and 2025. Calculate hourly delay in VFR conditions for the Year 2020 and 2025 for runway use configurations No. 1 and No. 4. Explain why there are differences in the delay calculated for these two years. The following information is required to complete your delay calculations. Peak Fifteen Minute Demand The table below presents the peak 15-minute demand during the busy hour for the years under consideration. Year 2020 2025 15-Minute Peak Demand Peak 15 Minute Demand VFR IFR 25 15 35 Page 4 of 13 20 AVM 3201 - Aviation Planning Paper Outline Deer Valley Airport - Existing Conditions, Forecasts, Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study 1.3 ANNUAL SERVICE VOLUME This section should report on the determination of Annual Service Volume using the methodology for short-term planning. Explain how these ASVs compare to demand at the airport. Plot a graph (with multiple lines) that charts ASV, 60 percent of ASV, and Annual Demand for the years 2020 and 2025. Analyze the graph and report your findings. As part of your discussion answer the following questions: What is the potential impact of the runway closure in the Year 2025? 1.4 SITE SELECTION STUDY This section should identify a suitable alternative site Deer Valley Airport. The area of the alternative site should be able to accommodate all of the existing facilities at the current airport and provide space for growth. You may use image from google maps or google earth in your site selection. At least three alternative sites should be identified and evaluated. The following should be considered: 1. Convenience to population, including proximity to highways, railroads or other modes of surface transportation 2. Airspace 3. Surrounding obstructions 4. Availability for expansion 5. Availability of utilities 6. Meteorological conditions 7. Environmental and Noise impacts 1.5 RECOMMENDATIONS This section should state your recommendations for Deer Valley Airport. These recommendations should be based on your demand/capacity analyses and site selection study. Identify any further infrastructure development that is required both on and off-airport to support the future airport operations. Report Requirements A good way of getting your paper done on time is to start early. The following requirements must be met: 1. Report figures tables should be appropriately titled and sourced. 2. Worksheets and supporting calculations should be place in an appendix. Blank worksheets have been provided for you. 3. Setup the page with 1-inch margins all around. 4. Font: Arial 5. Font Size: 12 6. Line spacing: Single 7. Provide appropriate Headings with section numbers, in bold. 8. Use Headers and Footers. o Name and title of paper in Header. Page 5 of 13 AVM 3201 - Aviation Planning Paper Outline Deer Valley Airport - Existing Conditions, Forecasts, Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study o Page numbers centered in the Footer. 9. Text should be fully justified. 10. Include a list of your references, also separate from the number of pages of content, at the end of the paper. 11. Create a cover for your report that includes the following: o Title o Prepared for: Course Name and Section o Prepared by: Your name o Date Failure to meet these project report requirements will affect your grade. The report will be graded with respect to content, format and grammar. Please refer to the grading outline on the last page of this outline. Sample Table and Figure Your tables and figures should be numbered, titled and sourced as shown in the following examples. Page 6 of 13 AVM 3201 - Aviation Planning Paper Outline Deer Valley Airport - Existing Conditions, Forecasts, Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study TABLE 1.1 HISTORICAL POPULATION Year USA 1 Texas 1 Webb County 2 Laredo 2 1989 246,819,222 16,806,729 129,943 129,943 1990 249,464,396 17,044,714 134,517 134,517 1991 252,153,092 17,339,904 140,492 140,492 1992 255,029,699 17,650,479 147,823 147,823 1993 257,782,608 17,996,764 155,742 155,747 1994 260,327,021 18,338,319 162,834 162,834 1995 262,803,276 18,679,706 169,715 169,715 1996 265,228,572 19,006,240 174,365 174,365 1997 267,783,607 19,355,427 180,370 180,370 1998 270,248,003 19,712,389 186,798 186,798 1999 272,690,813 20,044,141 194,087 189,958 2000 281,421,906 20,851,820 200,600 1 Source: U.S. Bureau of Census. 2 Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University, 2002. 193,117 Page 7 of 13 AVM 3201 - Aviation Planning Paper Outline Deer Valley Airport - Existing Conditions, Forecasts, Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study FIGURE 1.1 AIRPORT DIAGRAM Source: www.airnav.com, FAA Airport Diagram Page 8 of 13 AVM 3201 - Aviation Planning Paper Outline Deer Valley Airport - Existing Conditions, Forecasts, Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study Planning/ Technical Report Writing 1. Write in concise clear sentences. Check your spelling and grammar and read your sentences out loud to ensure they make sense. 2. Cite your sources within your text. For example: \"According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), the population of Brevard County will grow at a rate of 1.5 percent over the next ten years.\" 3. Do not use abbreviations within the main body of the document. For example, the symbol for feet or the abbreviation ft. should not be used. Write out the word feet. Similarly, symbols such as % should be written out in full as percent. Symbols in Tables are acceptable if there insufficient space for the full text. 4. You may use acronyms in the main body of the report. However, they should be fully defined the first time they are used. Do not assume the reader knows what they stand for. For instance: Medium-Intensity Approach Lighting System with Runway Alignment Indicator Lights (MALSR). After defining the acronym it may be then used in subsequent text. 5. When using single digit numbers in the main body of the text write out the number and place the number itself in brackets. For example: \"In 2010, the airport had three (3) active FBOs. If your sentence starts with a number, write out the number regardless of the number of digits. 6. Read other planning study reports to see how information is written out or expressed. Page 9 of 13 AVM 3201 - Aviation Planning Paper Outline Deer Valley Airport - Existing Conditions, Forecasts, Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study CAPACITY WORKSHEET - SHORT-RANGE PLANNING HOURLY CAPACITY RUNWAY-USE CAPACITY FIGURE NO. MIX INDEX % (C+3D) AIRCRAFT MIX DEMAND DIAGRAM 1 NO. VFR IFR %A %B %C %D 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 ARRIVALS % TOUCH AND GO % PROF. ULREEN JONES AVM 3201 AVIATION PLANNINGCOLLEGE OF AERONAUTICS, MARCH 2013 10 11 12 14 FACTOR FACTOR CAPACITY T E CxTxE 15 16 17 18 NO. 13 HOURLY C* LOCATION EXIT BASE RUNWAY EXITS T&G AVM 3201 - Aviation Planning Paper Outline Deer Valley Airport - Existing Conditions, Forecasts, Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study DELAY WORKSHEET - SHORT RANGE PLANNING RWY-USE CONFIGURATION DELAY FIG. NO. DEMAND CAPACITY SKETCH NO. VFR IFR 1 2 3 4 HOURLY 5 PROF. ULREEN JONES AVM 3201 AVIATION PLANNINGCOLLEGE OF AERONAUTICS, MARCH 2013 15 MIN. 6 7 D/C RATIO PERCENT MIX ARRIVALS INDEX Arrival Delay 9 10 Factor ADF Index ADI 8 Index Depart. Delay DDI Factor DDF 11 12 13 14 AVER. DELAY (MINUTES) Demand Profile Factor DDF ARR. DEP. HOURLY DELAY (MINUTES) 15 16 17 18 AVM 3201 - Aviation Planning Paper Outline Deer Valley Airport - Existing Conditions, Forecasts, Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study ASV WORKSHEET - SHORT RANGE PLANNING OPERATING CONDITION NO . 1 WEATHER 2 RWY-USE DIAGRAM 3 PERCENT HOURLY PERCENT MIX OF YEAR CAPACITY MAXIMUM INDEX (P) (C) CAPACITY 4 5 6 7 PROF. ULREEN JONES AVM 3201 AVIATION PLANNINGCOLLEGE OF AERONAUTICS, MARCH 2013 WEIGHTIN G FACTOR (W) 8 AVM 3201 - Aviation Planning Paper Outline Deer Valley Airport - Existing Conditions, Forecasts, Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study GRADING MAXIMUM POINTS Grammar Report is clear and eloquent and proper grammar and spelling is used. 5 Content Airport Background 5 Existing Airport Facilities 5 Historical Aviation Activity 5 Annual, ADPM and Peak Hour Forecasts 10 Hourly Capacity 10 Hourly Delay 10 Annual Service Volume 10 Site Selection Study 15 Supporting Worksheets and Calculations 20 Format All Worksheets placed in an appendix 1 Page Margins: 1 inch all around Font: Arial Font Size: 11 Line spacing: Single Text: Fully justified. Use Headers and Footers. o Name and title of paper in Header. Page numbers centered in the Footer. 1 Headings with section numbers 1 References 1 Report Cover 1 PROF. ULREEN JONES AVM 3201 AVIATION PLANNINGCOLLEGE OF AERONAUTICS, MARCH 2013