1. Based on Question No 2, The Project Manager of Gigi Kretek, identified the uncertain variables in the model as follows:
   1. Smoker Percentage at mean 30% and standard deviation 12%
   2. R&D cost between Rp 3.500.000.000,- and Rp 4.000.000.000,-
   3. Product Trial costs with mean Rp 3.500.000.000,- and standard deviation Rp 150.000.000,-
   4. Annual market growth factor Minimum = 1%, Maximum = 7% dan Most Likely = 4%
   5. Annual market share growth Minimum = 1%, Maximum = 5% dan Most Likely = 2,5% ,With that finding: 1. Recreate your model with that uncertain variables (8 Points) (LO 3) 2.Provide your answer with final Screen shoot showing the formula on how you find the answer of point a. (2 points) (LO 3)