Question
Basic synopsis: Your firm may purchase certain assets from a struggling competitor. The competitor is asking $50,000,000 for the assets. Last year, the assets produced
Basic synopsis:
Your firm may purchase certain assets from a struggling competitor. The competitor is asking $50,000,000 for the assets. Last year, the assets produced revenues of $15,000,000. Revenues earned in the next year (i.e., year 1) and in future years are estimated using the information in the table below.
Your staff expects that the following assumptions will hold over the operating period:
- The assets will be viable for another 10 years but will be worthless at the end of the 10 year period
- The assets are qualified by the IRS for depreciation using the straight-line method
- The firm will have a tax rate of 20%
Your staff has also identified three key areas of uncertainty, which include
| Worst-Case | Base-Case | Best-Case |
Cash Expenses as a % of Revenues | 60% | 55% | 45% |
WACC | 20% | 15% | 8% |
Revenue Growth Rate | -10% | 0% | 7% |
Probability | 10% | 80% | 10% |
Goal 3- Use the probability distribution given along with your estimates from Goals 1 and 2 to calculate the expected value of the NPV and IRR for acquiring the assets. Interpret the expected values for both capital budgeting measures (compare your estimate of the expected value of the IRR to a benchmark IRR of 14.8%).
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