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Bond Return Assignment A 30-year zero-coupon bond yields 8% today and has a face value of $100. The price of such a bond can be

Bond Return Assignment

A 30-year zero-coupon bond yields 8% today and has a face value of $100. The price of such a bond can be calculated using the bond pricing formula:

,

where P is the price of the bond, 100 is the face value of the bond, y is the yield to maturity and t is the number of years to maturity. Therefore, the current price of the bond is $9.94:

If the bond yield one year later is 8.5%, then the price of the bond is:

The return for the year is:

If, on the other hand, the bond yield one year later is 8%, the return for the year is 8%:

In fact, the yield one year from today is a normal random variable with = 0.08 and = 0.01. Use =NORM.INV(RAND(),0.08,0.01) to get a normally distributed random variable. Use a simulation with 1,000 trials to answer the following questions:

  1. Produce the following output (using DADM tools)

2. Show the histogram of return for duration =20, 25, and 30.

Summary stats for _Return

Duration

20

25

30

Mean

0.100

0.110

0.123

Median

0.083

0.083

0.084

Min

-0.397

-0.483

-0.556

Max

0.946

1.273

1.654

Std Dev

0.191

0.245

0.301

95% confidence interval for the mean

Lower limit

0.088

0.095

0.105

Upper limit

0.111

0.125

0.142

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