Question
Bonuses updated data below all need on Excel working with excel formula Year Bonus($000) 2000 100.5 2001 74.1 2002 60.9 2003 99.9 2004 113.5 2005
Bonuses updated data below all need on Excel working with excel formula
Year | Bonus($000) |
2000 | 100.5 |
2001 | 74.1 |
2002 | 60.9 |
2003 | 99.9 |
2004 | 113.5 |
2005 | 149.8 |
2006 | 191.4 |
2007 | 177.8 |
2008 | 100.9 |
2009 | 140.6 |
2010 | 139.0 |
2011 | 111.4 |
2012 | 142.9 |
2013 | 169.8 |
2014 | 160.3 |
2015 | 136.8 |
2016 | 156.8 |
2017 | 184.4 |
2018 | 153.7 |
a. Fit a third-order autoregressive model to the average baseball salary and test for the significance of the third-order autoregressive parameter (use = 0.05).
b. Fit a second-order autoregressive model to the average baseball salary and test for the significance of the second-order autoregressive parameter (use = 0.05).
c. Fit a first-order autoregressive model to the average baseball salary and test for the significance of the first-order autoregressive parameter (use = 0.05).
d. Using the most appropriate model, forecast the average baseball salary for 2020.
e. Plot your actual and predicted bonuses (on the same graph) using your model selected in part d above. This requires that you have the predicted bonuses for each year (starting in 2010) using your selected model in part d.
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