Answered step by step
Verified Expert Solution
Link Copied!

Question

1 Approved Answer

BP has three potential sites where it can build a drilling rig. Due to its past experience, the CEO has instructed his management team to

BP has three potential sites where it can build a drilling rig. Due to its past experience, the CEO has instructed his management team to choose no more than one site.

The costs, the revenues and the estimated outcomes for each site are given in the table below.

Probabilities for the different outcomes

E3 (Dry)

Expected revenue:

$0

E2 (Wet)

Expected revenue:

5$M

E1 (Overflowing)

Expected revenue: 30$M

Costs

(in million $)

Site

0.2

0.8

0

2

A

0.2

0.5

0.3

8

B

0.4

0.4

0.2

6

C

For example, it costs $8M to build a drilling rig in site B. There's a 30% chance for E1 with potential revenue of $30M; 50% chance for E2 with potential revenue of $5M; and a 20% chance for E3 with zero revenue.

  1. Calculate the EMV (10 points).
  2. How much would the company be willing to pay for perfect information on all three sites (together)? Note that after finding out the true nature of each site, the company can still choose no more than one site. (15 points)
  3. After a close vote, the company decided not to drill in sites A and B. It was also decided that site C would be chosen only if it were profitable to drill there. In addition, the company's CEO determined that site C could not be overflowing (state E1). Assuming that is true, how much would the company be willing to pay for perfect information on site C now? (10 points)

NOTE: PLEASE DON'T SIMPLY COPY THE TREE CHART FROM OTHER SOLUTIONS AVAILABLE ON THE PLATFORM. A COMPLETE SOLUTION WITH A SOLUTION FOR ALL THE PARTS WOULD BE APPRECIATED. INCLUDE ALL THE EXCEL FORMULAS WITH THE SNAPSHOTS.

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

Step: 1

blur-text-image

Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions

See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success

Step: 2

blur-text-image_2

Step: 3

blur-text-image_3

Ace Your Homework with AI

Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance

Get Started

Recommended Textbook for

Exploring Strategy Text And Cases

Authors: Gerry Johnson, Richard Whittington, Patrick RegnÈr, Kevan Scholes, Duncan Angwin

12th Edition

1292282517, 978-1292282510

More Books

Students also viewed these General Management questions

Question

What would you do?

Answered: 1 week ago