Question
Buhler Industries is a farm implement manufacturer. Management is currently evaluating a proposal to build a plant that will manufacture lightweight tractors. Buhler plans to
Buhler Industries is a farm implement manufacturer. Management is currently evaluating a proposal to build a plant that will manufacture lightweight tractors. Buhler plans to use a cost of capital of
12%
to evaluate this project. Based on extensive research, it has prepared the following incomplete incremental free cash flow projections (in millions of dollars):
Free Cash Flow ($000,000s) | Year 0 | Years 19 | Year 10 |
Revenues | 113.00 | 113.00 | |
Manufacturing expenses (other than depreciation) | 30.00 | 30.00 | |
Marketing expenses | 12.00 | 12.00 | |
CCA | ? | ? | |
=EBIT | ? | ? | |
Taxes (35%) | ? | ? | |
=Unlevered net income | ? | ? | |
+CCA | ? | ? | |
Increases in net working capital | 5.00 | 5.00 | |
Capital expenditures | 155.00 | ||
+Continuation value | 10.00 | ||
=Free cash flow | 155.00 | ? | ? |
The relevant CCA rate for the capital expenditures is
15%.
Assume assets are never sold.
a. For this base-case scenario, what is the NPV of the plant to manufacture lightweight tractors?
b. Based on input from the marketing department, Buhler is uncertain about its revenue forecast. In particular, management would like to examine the sensitivity of the NPV to the revenue assumptions. What is the NPV of this project if revenues are
10%
higher than forecast? What is the NPV of this project if revenues are
10%
lower than forecast?
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