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Business ScenarioTBay Woods Co . is a manufacturer for wood products in Northwestern Ontario. Due to themarket and technology changes, the company is considering to

Business ScenarioTBay Woods Co. is a manufacturer for wood products in Northwestern Ontario. Due to themarket and technology changes, the company is considering to further develop its business withthe following three options: Option 1: to acquire another factory for wood processing, which would invest $80,000; Option 2: to upgrade the current assembly line, which would cost $50,000; Option 3: to keep the current settings no change, i.e., no new costs and no new revenue.Based on the historical data, the company also considers three possible market conditions in thenear future: High demand market: where the newly built factory can generate $120,000 revenue, andthe upgrades can generate $80,000 revenue. Low demand market: where the new factory can only generate $60,000 revenue, and theupgrades can generate $40,000 revenue. No change in market demand: where the new factory can generate $85,000 revenue, andthe upgrades can generate $60,000 revenue.You are a new hire at the company, and the manager asks you to analyze the situations and makerecommendations for decision-making. Assume the capacity would meet the market demand inall situations, with the same price at $10/unit and the same cost at $5/unit.1. Formulate the problem for decision analysis. Show the decision alternatives and states ofnature, and develop a payoff table with the outcomes (i.e., profit).2. Considering this is a decision-making problem under uncertainty, apply the threestrategies to analyze the problem and come up your recommendation for each strategy.3. Assume that a recent market research report predicts the market conditions with 40%chance of high demand, 25% of low demand, and 35% of no change. Would you changeyour recommendations? Why?4. Calculate the expected value of perfect information (EVPI).5. Create a decision tree with the business scenario and the information from (3.) to analyzethe problem and verify your recommendations.

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