& Bxarnple: What impacts strength of evidence? A S PR Instructions: Answer the questions after the graphs Probability of success Number of elections Number of repetitions = gimulate Reset 05 279 Total repetitions so far = 1000 60 Mean: 0.498 2ol = SD: 0.029 o 200 ' % o 150 138 141 "6 { @ 100 E ' Z 50 | 00.387 0409 0430 0452 0473 0495 0516 0538 0559 0581 0.602 Correct predictions Incorrect predictions Proportion of successes Results of selected repetition Hy=7w=0.5 H: x*0)5 Observed statistic 0495 Direction * at least as extreme as the observed statistic v Your simulation Count: 891 Incorrect p-value 1800 = m Hint: The p-value is calculated as the number of repetitions as extreme as the observed statistic divided by the total number of repetitions ' Incorrect Standardized statistic 0.677 Hint: The standardized statistic is 0.677mean of null distribution standard deviation of null distribution Feedback