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By rewriting the formula for the Multiplication Rule, you can write a formula for finding conditional probabilities. The conditional probability of event B occurring, given

By rewriting the formula for the Multiplication Rule, you can write a formula for finding conditional probabilities. The conditional probability of event B occurring, given that event A has occurred, is P(BA)=P(AandB)P(A).

Use the information below to find the probability that a flight arrives on time given that it departed on time.

The probability that an airplane flight departs on time is

0.92

The probability that a flight arrives on time is

0.88

The probability that a flight departs and arrives on time is

0.83

The probability that a flight arrives on time given that it departed on time is

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