Question
Cement Co is a company specializing in the manufacture of cement, a product used in the building industry. The company has found that when weather
Cement Co is a company specializing in the manufacture of cement, a product used in the building industry. The company has found that when weather conditions are good, the demand for cement increases since more building work is able to take place. Cement Co now is trying to work out the level of cement production for the coming year in order to maximize profits. The company has received the following estimates about the probable weather conditions and corresponding demand levels for the coming year:
WeatherProbabilityDemand
Good25%350000 bags
Average45%280000 bags
Poor30%200000 bags
Each bag of cement sells for $9 and cost $4 to make. If cement is unsold at the end of the year, it has to be disposed of at a cost of $0.50 per bag. Cement Co has decided to produce at one of the three levels of production to match forecast demand. It now has to decide which level of cement production to select.
Which level of cement production the company should choose, based on the decision rule of Minimax Regret?
A)280,000 bags
B)350,000 bags
C)273,500 bags
D)200,000 bags
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