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Chapter 6 Running Your Own MNCMonitoring Central Bank Intervention 1 . How can your business be affected if the Fed attempts to strengthen the dollar
Chapter Running Your Own MNCMonitoring Central Bank Intervention How can your business be affected if the Fed attempts to strengthen the dollar in the foreign exchange market? If the Fed decides to weaken the dollar, how will your business be affected? How can indirect central bank intervention affect your business even if there is no impact on exchange rates?Accessing Central Bank InformationGo to wwwbis.orgcbankshtm to access the Web site link for the central bank in your target country. Determine whether this central bank intervenes to control its currency in the foreign exchange market. Assessing Spot and Forward Rates Obtain a quotation for the spot rate of the foreign currency that you will receive from your business from the bank where you intend to conduct your foreign exchange transactions. Then, obtain a quotation for the spot rate of the foreign currency from another bank. Does it appear that the spot rates are aligned across locations at a given point in time? Obtain a quotation for the oneyear forward rate of the foreign currency from the bank where you intend to conduct your foreign exchange transactions. Then, use a business periodical to determine the prevailing oneyear interest rates in the United States and the foreign country of concern. Does it appear that interest rate parity exists? Review the data on forward rates from The Wall Street Journal or another source to determine whether the foreign currency of concern typically exhibits a discount or a premium. Then review data on interest rates to compare the foreign country of concern and the US interest rates. Does it appear that the forward rate of the foreign currency exhibits a premium discount when its interest rate is lower higher than the US interest rate, as suggested by interest rate parity? Chapter Running Your Own MNCDetermining Whether IFE HoldsUse The Wall Street Journal or another data source to record the interest rate differential between the interest rate of the foreign country in which you plan to do business and the US rate over the last five or so quarters. Then, review the exchange rate percentage change in the foreign currency of concern over each of those corresponding quarters to determine whether the international Fisher effect IFE appears to hold over those quarters for that currency. Chapter Running Your Own MNCMonitoring Exchange Rate TrendsUse a business periodical or the Internet to determine how the value of the foreign currency of concern has changed in each of the last five weeks. Does it appear that there is a trend over the last five weeks? What is the mean percentage change over these weeks? If you believed that the currency's value would continue following the recent trend, would it appreciate or depreciate in the near future? Chapter Running Your Own MNCEstablishing a Subsidiary in Foreign Country Assuming that your international business is successful, identify reasons why it may be feasible to establish a small subsidiary in the foreign country rather than continue exporting.Identify the disadvantages associated with establishing a small subsidiary in the foreign country of concern. Chapter Running Your Own MNCDeriving a Required Rate of Return for an International ProjectConsider a possible project that would result in expansion of your international business. Describe how you would derive a required rate of return for this project. Chapter Running Your Own MNCEnsuring Payment for ExportsExplain how your business could ensure payment for the products that you are exporting to a foreign country. Chapter Running Your Own MNCFinancing in Foreign Currency Given that your business has receivables in a foreign currency, you may want to consider financing in that same foreign currency to offset the exposure. Compare the recent interest rate of the foreign currency of concern to the US interest rate: Is the foreign interest rate typically higher or lower than the US interest rate? Would you use financing in that currency to offset receivables? Explain.Explain how you could use foreign financing for your business in a manner that would reduce your exposure to exchange rate risk. Be specific.
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