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Coca Cola (KO) price is $61/share. The company is expected to pay dividend of $1.7/share next year. (In reality, dividends are paid quarterly. In this
Coca Cola (KO) price is $61/share. The company is expected to pay dividend | ||||||||||
of $1.7/share next year. (In reality, dividends are paid quarterly. In this question we will assume for | ||||||||||
simplicity that all dividends are paid at year end). Coca Cola's cost of capital is 7%. | ||||||||||
a. Assuming that Coca Cola is expected to pay all its payout in the form of dividends and that it expects | ||||||||||
to increase dividends at a constant rate forever, what is Coca Cola's expected dividend | ||||||||||
growth rate? | ||||||||||
b. Coca Cola's P/E ratio is 25.1x (E=expected earnings next year). Assuming that Coca Cola's | ||||||||||
existing assets are expected to earn constant earnings forever, what portion of the firm | ||||||||||
stock price is attributed to Coca Cola's growth opportunities (PVGO)? | ||||||||||
c. You want to know whether Coca Cola is overvalued or not. You compare its P/E ratio to its | ||||||||||
peers. You observe that, on average, Coca Cola's peers' P/E ratio is 26.0x. Should | ||||||||||
you buy Coca Cola's stock or not? Explain. |
2.
Ontel Inc expects an EPS of $10 and DPS (dividend per share) of $6 next year and expects to | |||||
maintain the same payout ratio for the foreseeable future. It invests its | |||||
retained earnings at an ROIC of 15%. | |||||
a. What is Ontel's growth rate? | |||||
b. Given a cost of capital of 12%, what should be Ontel's price per share? |
3.
Suppose that in question 2, Ontel announces that it is going to decrease its dividend to $4 next | |||||||
year in order to retain more money into its projects. | |||||||
a. Calculate the new stock price, assuming that the rest of the parameters of the question | |||||||
stay unchanged. Explain why the new stock price increases. | |||||||
b. In real life, when a firm announces a decrease in dividends the stock price usually goes | |||||||
down. Explain what could be the reason for the discrepancy between the increase in | |||||||
price in (a) and the negative announcement effect. | |||||||
4.
A private company, Exclamation Inc., is interested in launching an Initial Public Offering (IPO) | |||||||||||||
on its shares and has approached you for an initial valuation analysis. You collected the information in the table below to help with the analysis. | |||||||||||||
You found out that Exclamation's closest peer is Cisco. | |||||||||||||
a. Calculate the equity value of Exclamation using Net Income multiples (aka P/E multiple). Exclamation's net income projection for next year (FY1) is $6.00B. | |||||||||||||
(Hint: You do not need per-share information) | |||||||||||||
b.A more accurate comparable company valuation will require the use of more than just one company. | |||||||||||||
After a lengthy analysis, you conclude that besides Cisco, other comparable firms for Exclamation include Microsoft (MSFT), Google (GOOG), IBM (IBM) and Oracle (ORCL) | |||||||||||||
(these five firms aka the "comparable universe"). | |||||||||||||
Value the company using the average multiples for the comparable universe. | |||||||||||||
c.Repeat (b) using median comparable multiples | |||||||||||||
d. Why is it useful to look not only at average multiples but also at median multiples? | |||||||||||||
Valuation ($ Billions) | Microsoft | IBM | Oracle | Cisco | |||||||||
Equity value | 280 | 125 | 130 | 75 | 125 | ||||||||
Net Income (projection for next year) | 13.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 5.8 | ||||||||
5.
After spending $3 million on research, Better Mousetraps has developed a new trap. The project requires an initial investment in plant and equipment of $6 million. This investment will be depreciated straight-line over five years to a value of zero, but, when the project comes to an end in five years, the equipment can in fact be sold for $500,000. The firm believes that working capital at each date must be maintained at 10% of next year's forecasted sales. Production costs are estimated at $1.50 per trap and the traps will be sold for $4 each. (There are no marketing expenses). Sales forecasts are given in the following table. The firm pays tax at 35% and the required return on the project is 12%. What is the NPV and IRR? | |||||||||
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |||
Sales (millions of traps) | 0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | |||
6.
CSC is an oven manufacturer. It is evaluating a project to produce new ovens. The project has the following features: | |||||||||||
a. Initial investment in plant and equipment today is $2 million. | |||||||||||
b. First-year sales are forecasted at $1million and costs at $300,000. Both are expected to stay constant for the duration of the project. | |||||||||||
The project will last three years. | |||||||||||
c. Working capital each year is forecasted at 20% of following-year sales. | |||||||||||
d. The project will use a facility of CSC. Had CSC not do the project, the facility would have been rented for | |||||||||||
$10,000 a year (cash flow after tax). | |||||||||||
e. For tax purposes, the plant is expected to depreciate straight line over 5 years with a salvage value of zero. | |||||||||||
However, at year 3, when the project ends, the firm expects to sell the machines for $1m (before taxes). | |||||||||||
f. Taxes are 35% on firms' profits and capital gains. The discount rate is 10%. | |||||||||||
g. CSC expects that the introduction of the new oven will result in migration of customers from CSC's current oven line to the new one. | |||||||||||
The after tax cash loss from reduction of sales of the current oven line is expected to be $10,000 a year. | |||||||||||
Should CSC invest in the project? |
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Lets address each question one by one Coca Cola KO a To find the expected dividend growth rate we can use the Gordon Growth Model gD1PrgPD1r Where D1D1 Expected dividend per share next year 17 PP Curr...
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