Question
Company A is an early stage business which has forecasted a need for $1,250,000 in external funds to support expansion of its physical plant, purchase
Company A is an early stage business which has forecasted a need for $1,250,000 in external funds to support expansion of its physical plant, purchase equipment and hire essential staff. Before pursuing funding, Company A must develop a credible/defensible estimate of its current value. The company just finished its first six (6) months of operations during which it experienced negative cash flow and a substantial operating loss. The management team, with the assistance of financial and accounting advisors, has prepared pro forma financial statements and cash flow projections which are based on a financial model using what the team believes are reasonable operating, new CAPEX and Net Working Capital (NWC) requirement assumptions. After the next year (Year 1), the Company A team projects VERY SUBSTANTIAL increases in Sales. The founding team wants to retain a 60% ownership interest in the firm AFTER the $1,250,000 anticipated capital infusion. Company As financial Model projects the following Annual (Discreet) and Terminal Cash Flows:
Year 1 = -450,000; Year 2 = 175,000; Year 3 = 1,300,000. Beginning with Year 4, the team projects a steady, perpetual Cash Flow growth rate of 3%. Cash flows in the 3 year Discreet period are considered to have a risk factor of 45%; Cash Flows in the Terminal period are considered much less risky and the team believes they should be discounted at a risk factor of 20%.
Company A operates in a relatively mature industry with several trade and industry-wide associations and organizations which gather and publish operating, financial and transactional information for member companies of various sizes and maturities. Company As financials project $ 395,000 (Net Profit) and $705,000 (EBITDA) for Year 3. Industry data indicates that risky companies currently sell for approximately 20 times Net Profit and 12 times EBITDA. As indicated above, Company As management believes that a 45% return is necessary to attract investors. SHOW ALL CALCULATIONS TO SUPPORT YOUR ANSWERS BELOW.
What should Company As management present as the firms approximate PRESENT value if it uses the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation methodology? DCF CALCULATION
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