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COMPLETE IN R , should not be done in chat GPT / use complex code A life insurance company is pricing a new policy to

COMPLETE IN R, should not be done in chat GPT/use complex code
A life insurance company is pricing a new policy to sell to a group of 45-year-old male non-smokers. They determine that the probability that a member of this group will die X years from the day they purchase the policy can be modeled with a Weibull distribution with shape parameter 4.6 and scale parameter 39, measured in years. The term of the policy is 20 years. At the end of every month, policyholders (PH) are expected to pay a premium of $120. If a PH in good standing dies during the term of the policy, his beneficiaries receive a benefit of $1,000,000 at the end of that month. Every month there is a 0.3% chance that the policy holder will let the policy lapse (i.e. he will permanently stop paying premiums and forfeit his right to the benefit). The insurance company calculates cost of funds using a rate of 6.5%, compounding monthly.
Hint: The formula for the present value of n payments of size A at the end of each period with a per period interest rate of r is given by
PV=A*(1-(1+r)^(-n))/r
PV=A**1-(1+r)-nr
a)(2 pts) Create a Monte Carlo simulation with 10,000 trials of the above scenario to calculate the
net present value of cash flows between the company and one policyholder.
i) pts) Create a data frame with one row for each trial, one column for time until death
(measured in months) and another for number of months before the PH would let the policy
lapse. Note: you should be able to choose a distribution for the lapse column from among
those we discussed in class.
ii)(0.6 pts) Mutate the data frame from (i). Create new columns to calculate for each trial:
Whether or not the insurance company owes a benefit;
For how many months does the PH pay premiums;
The NPV of the payments by the PH;
The NPV of the benefit from the insurance company (or 0 if they owe no benefit);
The difference between the two NPVs. This is the net NPV for the trial.
iii)(0.2 pts) Create a histogram describing the net NPV of the company. How would you
characterize the distribution?
iv)(0.2 pts) According to your simulation, what are the mean and standard deviation of the net
NPV? On average, is the company making a profit?
v)(0.2 pts) Provide a 95% confidence interval for the mean of the net NPV. Interpret the result.
vi)(0.2 pts) How many iterations would be necessary to provide a 99% confidence interval with
a half width of $200?
vii)(0.2 pts) The company can be 90% certain their net NPV will be at least x. Solve for x.
The company can be 99% certain their net NPV will be at least y. Solve for y.
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