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(Comprehensive risk analysis) Blinkeria is considering introducing a new line of hand scanners that can be used to copy materials and then download it into

  1. (Comprehensive risk analysis) Blinkeria is considering introducing a new line of hand scanners that can be used to copy materials and then download it into a personal computer. These scanners are expected to sell for an average price of $100 each, and the company analysts performing the analysis expect that the Firm can sell 100,000 units per year at this price for a period of seven years, after which time they expect demand for the product to end as a result of new technology. In addition, variable costs are expected to be $27.5 per unit while cash fixed costs, not including depreciation, are forecast to be $1,259,000 per year. To manufacture this product, Blinkeria will need to buy a computerized production machine for $9.75 million that has residual value of $600,000 and will have an expected life of seven years. In addition, the firm expects it will have to invest an additional $300,000 in working capital to support the new business.

Initial Cost of Machine

$9,750,000

Expected Life

7 Years

Salvage Value of Machine

$600,000

Working Capital Requirements

$300,000

Depreciation Method

MACRS 5

Cash Fixed Costs Excluding Depreciation

$1,259,000

Required Rate of Return

9.45%

Variable Cost of Production per Unit

$27.5

Tax Rate

33%

Use Scenario Analysis to evaluate the Projects NPV (Use Spreadsheet) under different scenarios (Base, Worst and Best)

Base Case

Worst Case

Best Case

Unit Sales

100,000

80,000

125,000

Sale Price per Unit

$100.00

$75.00

$115.00

Variable Cost per Unit

$27.5

$37.5

$21.5

Cash Fixed Costs per Year

$1,259,000

$1,375,000

$$875,000

Depreciation Expense

MACRS

MACRS

MACRS

Salvage Value of Machine

$600,000

$450,000

$750,000

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