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Compute the NPV of a project for which you have to invest $ 1 6 million today and you will receive $ 2 0 million

Compute the NPV of a project for which you have to invest $16 million today and you will receive $20 million in one year for sure (assume the discount rate is zero: 0%). In one year, you have to pay $15 million to reimburse a debt outstanding, and the rest of your portfolio could be worth $100 million or nothing with equal probability. What is the NPV of the new project from your point of view, i.e., taking into account the possibility that your portfolio next year cannot cover the debt reimbursement? The correct answer is -3.5 million.

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