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Consider an economy with four possible economic states: Boom, Normal, Slow Growth, and Recession which have a 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, and 0.1 probability of occurring,

  1. Consider an economy with four possible economic states: Boom, Normal, Slow Growth, and Recession which have a 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, and 0.1 probability of occurring, respectively. You are considering a stock which is expected to return 12%, 9%, 4%, and 2%, respectively, in each of those states. What is the expected return on the stock?

    5.7%

    6.2%

    6.9%

    7.3%

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