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Consider an updated set of data for the previous problem. Dam construction cost $830 million (range 750 to 950) Weather Net Benefit (millions) Probability Dry

Consider an updated set of data for the previous problem.

Dam construction cost $830 million (range 750 to 950)

Weather Net Benefit (millions) Probability
Dry $36 (range 30 to 40) 86% (range 80 to 90)
Wet $58 (range 50 to 80) 12% (range 15 to 9)
Flood $104 (range 80 to 200) 2% (range 5 to 1)

a. Keeping the discount rate the same, compute the "best case" for the dam when weather and dam construction costs may vary. Find the PV(E(NB)) and make a recommendation. b. Keeping the discount rate the same, compute the "worst case" for the dam when weather and dam construction costs may vary. Find the PV(E(NB)) and make a recommendation. c. Return to the baseline scenario (previous problem) and recompute for 3% and 7% discount rates. Find the PV(E(NB)) and make a recommendation for each.

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