Question
Consider it is April 2020 and a company will need to sell 100,000 barrels of oil in June 2021. Each futures contract is based on
Consider it is April 2020 and a company will need to sell 100,000 barrels of oil in June 2021. Each futures contract is based on 1,000 barrels. It decides to hedge with a short position with a hedge ratio of 1.0. The current spot price of oil is $19. The company decided to roll its hedge position forward at 6-month intervals. The following table shows all futures prices as well as the spot price in June 2021.
Date | April 2020 | September 2020 | February 2021 | June 2021 |
October 2020 Futures price | 18.20 | 18.40 |
|
|
March 2021 Futures price |
| 18.00 | 17.50 |
|
July 2021 Futures price |
|
| 16.80 | 15.30 |
Spot price | 19.00 |
|
| 16.00 |
The profit from only the rolling hedge strategy would be (round the answer two digits after decimal if needed):
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