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Consider the corporate bankruptcy prediction problem, and the list of variables in Appendix A . These variables are currently used to predict the probability of
Consider the corporate bankruptcy prediction problem, and the list of variables in Appendix A These variables are currently used to predict the probability of corporate failure for a firm, using annual financial and market data. Recommend additional variables, which are likely to be associated with the prediction of corporate bankruptcy and hence likely to improve the predictive power of the machine learning models. You should outline one key new variable that can be created from the existing variables such as financial ratios as well as one key new variable from external data sources that you can collect from different Big Data sources. Justify why you believe all these two new variables would be appropriate explanatory variables.
Appendix A: Covariates included in models
table#Variable Name,Variable Type,Descriptionact,Numeric,Current Assets TotalamNumeric,Amortixation of IntangiblesapNumeric,Accounts Payable TradeatNumeric,Total AssetsbkvlpsNumeric,Book value per sharecapx,Numeric,Capital Expendituresceq,Numeric,CommonOrdinary EquitychNumeric,Cashche,Numeric,Cash and shortterm investmentschech,Numeric,Cash and cash equivalents IncreaseDecreasecsho,Numeric,Common shares outstandingdlcNumeric,Debt in current liabilitiesdlttNumeric,Long Term Debt TotaldtNumeric,Total Debt including currentdvcNumeric,Dividends CommonOrdinarydvtNumeric,Dividends Totalebit,Numeric,Earnings Before Interest and Taxesebitda,Numeric,Earnings Before Interest and Taxes, Depreciation and amortizationfincf,Numeric,Financing activities net cash flowgdwlam,Numeric,Goodwill amortizationivncf,Numeric,Investing activities net cash flowlctNumeric,Current liabilities totalltNumeric,Liabilities totalmkvalt,Numeric,Market value totalNumeric,Net Income Lossoancf,Numeric,Operating Activities Net Cash Flowoptvol,Numeric,Volatility Assumption prccfNumeric,Price Close Annual FiscalprchfNumeric,Price High Annual FiscalprclfNumeric,Price Low Annual Fiscalrevt,Numeric,Revenue Totalsale,Numeric,SalesTurnover Netspce,Numeric,S&P Core EarningsspcsrcCategorical,S&P Quality Ranking Currentteq,Numeric,Stockholders Equity Totaltfva,Numeric,Total fair value assets TFVAtfvlNumeric,Total fair value liabilities TFVLNumeric,Income taxes payablewcap,Numeric,Working capital balance sheetxint,Numeric,Interest and Related Expense Totalxintd,Numeric,Interest Expense Longterm DebtxrdNumeric,Research and Development Expensexsga,Numeric,Selling, General and Administrative Expense
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