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Consider the following decision tree where the firm can choose either option ' a ' or option ' b ' . The values c ,
Consider the following decision tree where the firm can choose either option a or option b
The values c d e f and g are the probabilities this branch of the tree occurs. In this decision tree they all have the value of
If the firm selects option a and C occurs, the firm obtains a utility of If D occurs it obtains If E occurs it obtains a utility of If the firm selects option b it obtains a utility of if F occurs and if G occurs.
The expected utility of node A is thus Answer Question
and the expected utility of node B is Answer Question
The firm should select option Answer Question
and the expected utility for the box P is Answer Question
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