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Consider the following realized returns: Year Index Realized Returns 2011 30.50% 2012 9.00% 2013 -2.00% 2014 -17.30% 2015 -27.00% 2016 27.90% 2017 -5.10% 2018 -0.02%
Consider the following realized returns:
Year | Index Realized Returns |
2011 | 30.50% |
2012 | 9.00% |
2013 | -2.00% |
2014 | -17.30% |
2015 | -27.00% |
2016 | 27.90% |
2017 | -5.10% |
2018 | -0.02% |
2019 | -5.15% |
2020 | -11.30% |
Suppose that you want to use the 10 year historical average return on the Index to forecast the expected future return on the Index. The 95% confidence interval for your estimate of the expect return is closest to:
a | -11.60% to 11.50% | |
b | -15.4% to 21.5% | |
c | -7.3% to 12.2% | |
d | -25.0% to 5.68% |
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