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Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of Return Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds Recession .20 6 % +18 % Normal economy .50 +19 +11 Boom .30

Consider the following scenario analysis:

Rate of Return

Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds
Recession .20 6 % +18 %
Normal economy .50 +19 +11
Boom .30 +26 +8

a.

Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms?

Yes
No

b.

Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 1 decimal place.)

Expected Rate of Return Standard Deviation
Stocks % %
Bonds % %

c. Which investment would you prefer?
Stocks
Bonds

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