Question
Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of Return Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds Recession 0.3 -4 % 12 % Normal economy 0.4 13 7 Boom 0.3
Consider the following scenario analysis:
Rate of Return | |||||
Scenario | Probability | Stocks | Bonds | ||
Recession | 0.3 | -4 | % | 12 | % |
Normal economy | 0.4 | 13 | 7 | ||
Boom | 0.3 | 22 | 3 | ||
Assume a portfolio with weights of 0.60 in stocks and 0.40 in bonds.
a. What is the rate of return on the portfolio in each scenario? (Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 1 decimal place.)
b. What are the expected rate of return and standard deviation of the portfolio? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places.)
c. Would you prefer to invest in the portfolio, in stocks only, or in bonds only? Explain the benefit of diversification.
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