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Consider the following scenario analysis: Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds Recession .40 4 % 19 % Normal economy .50 20 9 Boom .10 26 8 a.
Consider the following scenario analysis:
Scenario | Probability | Stocks | Bonds | ||
Recession | .40 | 4 | % | 19 | % |
Normal economy | .50 | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Boom | .10 | 26 |
| 8 |
|
a. | Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? | ||||
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b. | Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answers as a percent rounded to 1 decimal place.) |
| Expected Rate of Return | Standard Deviation |
Stocks | % | % |
Bonds | % | % |
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