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Consider the following table with average cumulative default rates (in %). Time (years) 3 4 7 5 10 1 2 2 0.104 0.244 0.494 0.037

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Consider the following table with average cumulative default rates (in %). Time (years) 3 4 7 5 10 1 2 2 0.104 0.244 0.494 0.037 0.013 0.013 0.000 Aaa 0.443 0.273 0.619 0.059 0.103 0.184 0.021 2.136 1.239 0.549 0.756 0.362 0.177 A 0.055 3.031 1.953 4.904 0.933 0.510 1.427 0.181 Baa 14.440 20.101 8.146 10.453 3.191 5.596 1.157 Ba 34.721 26.173 44.573 4,465 16.344 10.432 21.510 B For Brated bonds in year 4 compute(a) the unconditional default rate and (b) the conditional default rate using the table Shortly explain the difference between the two. Show your calculations (5 points)

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