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Consider the monthly time series shown in the table. Month t Y January 1 185 February 2 192 March 3 189 April 4 201 May

Consider the monthly time series shown in the table.

Month

t

Y

January

1

185

February

2

192

March

3

189

April

4

201

May

5

195

June

6

199

July

7

206

August

8

203

September

9

208

October

10

209

November

11

218

December

12

216

a.Use the values of Y in the table to forecast the values of Y for the next two months, using simple exponential smoothing with w=0.7.

b.Use the Holt model with w=0.7and v=0.7 to forecast the values of Y for the next two months.

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