Question
Consider the on-the-run, off-the-run arbitrage, made famous by John Meriwether in his Solomon Brothers days. Suppose a 10-yr bond was just issued at par to
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Consider the on-the-run, off-the-run arbitrage, made famous by John Meriwether in his Solomon Brothers days. Suppose a 10-yr bond was just issued at par to offer a yield of 5% (assume annual coupons w/ discreet discounting). Assume also that another 10 year 5% coupon bond, that was originally a 20-yr bond issued 10 years earlier at par, but now sells for 98.47 and therefore offers a yield of 5.20% (note: the bonds have a face value of $100).
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Show that there is essentially little or no interest rate risk by showing the impact of an increase of interest rates of 20 basis points on a position that is long $1 Billion dollars of the cheaper bond, and short $1 billion of the more expensive bond (but assuming that the spread between these two bonds REMAINS at 20 basis points). Similarly show the impact of a 20 bp DECLINE in rates without a change in the spread. Note: the positions are $1 Billion in market value terms, not par value.
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Now, for the same portfolio considered in (a), show the impact of a 20 bp increase in the yield of the cheaper bond and a 40 bp increase in the yield of the more expensive bond (i.e., assume the spread goes to 0).
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Repeat (b) but assume a 20 basis point DECLINE in the yield of the cheaper bond, but no change in the yield of the more expensive bond (again, the spread goes to 0).
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Finally, show what happens if there is no general change in rates, but the spread WIDENS to 50 bp, meaning that the yield of the more expensive bond REMAINS at 5%, but the yield of the cheaper bond rises to 5.50%.
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