Question
Consider two local banks. Bank A has 100 loans outstanding, each for $1.0 million, that it expects will be repaid today. Each loan has a
Consider two local banks. Bank A has 100 loans outstanding, each for $1.0 million, that it expects will be repaid today. Each loan has a 6% probability of default, in which case the bank is not repaid anything. The chance of default is independent across all the loans. Bank B has only one loan of $100 million outstanding, which it also expects will be repaid today. It also has a 6% probability of not being repaid. Which bank faces less risk? Why?
(Select the best choice below.)
A.
The expected payoffs are the same, but Bank A is less risky. I prefer Bank A.
B.
The expected payoff is higher for Bank A, but is riskier. I prefer Bank B.
C.
The expected payoffs are the same, but Bank A is riskier. I prefer Bank B.
D.
In both cases, the expected loan payoff is the same: $100 million0.94=$94.0 million.
Consequently, I don't care which bank I own.
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