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Critical Thinking Activity This critical thinking activity integrates project management (chapter 10) with knowledge of variation & standard deviation (chapter 3). For your convenience, here
Critical Thinking Activity
This critical thinking activity integrates project management (chapter 10) with knowledge of variation & standard deviation (chapter 3).
For your convenience, here is a link to the MS Word file that contains the same information as it appears:Critical thinking Activity for Project Management
You must manage a project with the following activity times (in days):
Activity | Optimistic Time | Most Likely Time | Pessimistic Time | Predecessor Activity |
A | 1 | 3 | 5 | -- |
B | 6 | 7 | 8 | A |
C | 1 | 4 | 7 | B |
D | 1 | 6 | 11 | A |
E | 7 | 9 | 11 | C |
F | 20 | 29 | 38 | D |
G | 14 | 15 | 16 | E |
H | 7 | 10 | 13 | G, F |
Complete the following tasks
- Draw the project network
- Compute the ES, EF, LS, LF, and slack for all activities
- Identify the critical paths. There are TWO!
- Report the expected completion time and standard deviation for each path.
- Decide which standard deviation must be used for estimating probability of completion times. Justify your decision.
- Use the mean and standard deviation to estimate the probability that the project can be finished within 55 days of when it is started.
- Post a message to this week's DB and include:a) activities, duration, and standard deviation for each critical path,b)justification for your decision on which standard deviation to use (#5 above),c) your calculation and final answer to the probability question.
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