Question
Crude oil spread: On July 10, a refiner observes a favorable crack spread and wants to hedge its August spread for 60,000 barrels of crude
Crude oil spread: On July 10, a refiner observes a favorable crack spread and wants to hedge its August spread for 60,000 barrels of crude oil. Given a 5:3:2 crack spread, set up the hedge for the refiner on July 10 using the following information:
Crude oil | Gasoline | Heating oil | |
Contract specifications | 1,000 barrel (1 barrel = 42 gal) | 42,000 gal | 42,000 gal |
July 10 | Aug futures 49.00 USD/barrel | Aug futures 1.3040 USD/gal | Aug futures 1.3575 USD/gal |
What is the refiner's expected crack spread (i.e., margin) if you assume an expected August basis of -0.30 USD/barrel between the cash spread at the refiner's location and the New York futures spread?
Date | Cash Market | Futures Market | Basis |
July 10 | set up hedge, expected crack spread USD/barrel | expected -0.30 USD/barrel | |
August 1 | |||
On August 1, the refiner lifts the hedge and conducts the corresponding transactions in the cash market at the prices given below. What is the refiner's final crack spread per barrel
Crude oil | Gasoline | Heating oil | |
August 1 | August cash 35.20 USD/barrel | August cash 1.0755 USD/gal | August cash 1.1540 USD/gal |
August 1 | August futures 34.80 USD/barrel | August futures 1.0735 USD/gal | August futures 1.1550 USD/gal |
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