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Crude oil spread: On July 10, a refiner observes a favorable crack spread and wants to hedge its August spread for 60,000 barrels of crude

Crude oil spread: On July 10, a refiner observes a favorable crack spread and wants to hedge its August spread for 60,000 barrels of crude oil. Given a 5:3:2 crack spread, set up the hedge for the refiner on July 10 using the following information:

Crude oil

Gasoline

Heating oil

Contract specifications

1,000 barrel

(1 barrel = 42 gal)

42,000 gal

42,000 gal

July 10

Aug futures

49.00 USD/barrel

Aug futures

1.3040 USD/gal

Aug futures

1.3575 USD/gal

What is the refiner's expected crack spread (i.e., margin) if you assume an expected August basis of -0.30 USD/barrel between the cash spread at the refiner's location and the New York futures spread?

Date

Cash Market

Futures Market

Basis

July 10

set up hedge,

expected crack spread

USD/barrel

expected

-0.30 USD/barrel

August 1

On August 1, the refiner lifts the hedge and conducts the corresponding transactions in the cash market at the prices given below. What is the refiner's final crack spread per barrel

Crude oil

Gasoline

Heating oil

August 1

August cash

35.20 USD/barrel

August cash

1.0755 USD/gal

August cash

1.1540 USD/gal

August 1

August futures

34.80 USD/barrel

August futures

1.0735 USD/gal

August futures

1.1550 USD/gal

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