Question
DATA: date house gdp interest 5/15/2002 6.87309 3.567727 5.515236 8/15/2002 4.109163 0.978795 4.995225 11/15/2002 2.961117 5.423882 4.869358 2/15/2003 0.001663 -8.33886 3.949507 5/15/2003 4.458599 3.519417 5.059033
DATA:
date | house | gdp | interest |
5/15/2002 | 6.87309 | 3.567727 | 5.515236 |
8/15/2002 | 4.109163 | 0.978795 | 4.995225 |
11/15/2002 | 2.961117 | 5.423882 | 4.869358 |
2/15/2003 | 0.001663 | -8.33886 | 3.949507 |
5/15/2003 | 4.458599 | 3.519417 | 5.059033 |
8/15/2003 | 4.363868 | 1.757381 | 4.787134 |
11/15/2003 | 3.559352 | 7.508813 | 5.241011 |
2/15/2004 | -1.77336 | -7.64669 | 4.698297 |
5/15/2004 | -4.21497 | 3.802526 | 5.370114 |
8/15/2004 | -0.957 | 1.335485 | 5.198758 |
11/15/2004 | -0.27107 | 5.777947 | 4.602777 |
2/15/2005 | -2.84392 | -7.55266 | 4.731204 |
5/15/2005 | -1.9248 | 4.582637 | 4.691053 |
8/15/2005 | -2.66549 | 1.452142 | 4.22991 |
11/15/2005 | 0.383516 | 6.3435 | 4.91435 |
2/15/2006 | -1.81332 | -8.43442 | 4.436944 |
5/15/2006 | 0.195047 | 3.106712 | 4.032395 |
8/15/2006 | -0.8101 | 2.291104 | 4.805018 |
11/15/2006 | 0.599602 | 6.679772 | 5.76904 |
2/15/2007 | -0.24096 | -6.4464 | 5.8079 |
5/15/2007 | 2.594526 | 3.831032 | 4.741592 |
8/15/2007 | 1.75771 | 0.734607 | 5.338449 |
11/15/2007 | 1.477653 | 5.654151 | 5.229798 |
2/15/2008 | -1.90113 | -8.40132 | 4.805332 |
5/15/2008 | -2.77744 | 5.124434 | 4.931121 |
8/15/2008 | -3.46076 | 1.81273 | 4.757427 |
11/15/2008 | -1.29487 | 4.589894 | 5.114191 |
2/15/2009 | -1.75335 | -9.12946 | 4.113942 |
5/15/2009 | 4.466014 | 2.094695 | 4.591901 |
8/15/2009 | 3.47313 | -0.78079 | 4.47945 |
11/15/2009 | 5.028565 | 5.666131 | 4.930284 |
2/15/2010 | 2.351384 | -7.38068 | 4.597266 |
5/15/2010 | 2.069748 | 7.19547 | 4.903915 |
8/15/2010 | -1.0228 | 0.404348 | 4.308478 |
11/15/2010 | -0.60982 | 5.12644 | 4.924659 |
2/15/2011 | -1.73833 | -8.40839 | 4.076878 |
5/15/2011 | -0.71929 | 6.170844 | 4.416935 |
8/15/2011 | -2.5637 | 0.669862 | 3.966828 |
11/15/2011 | -1.1988 | 3.757904 | 4.0925 |
2/15/2012 | 0.708697 | -8.26666 | 3.871466 |
5/15/2012 | 1.004013 | 5.402672 | 2.876166 |
8/15/2012 | -1.69086 | -2.12252 | 1.661411 |
11/15/2012 | 2.281237 | 3.75929 | 2.916036 |
2/15/2013 | 0.768385 | -7.6672 | 3.07701 |
5/15/2013 | 3.337864 | 4.972977 | 2.946042 |
8/15/2013 | 2.98015 | -1.1022 | 2.701018 |
11/15/2013 | 5.336964 | 4.785339 | 3.343269 |
2/15/2014 | 1.17894 | -7.95315 | 3.562481 |
5/15/2014 | 3.460043 | 3.561437 | 3.36145 |
8/15/2014 | 2.445838 | -1.22822 | 3.002023 |
11/15/2014 | 3.413563 | 4.324454 | 2.988697 |
2/15/2015 | 3.584572 | -7.54435 | 2.353216 |
5/15/2015 | 9.109359 | 3.23635 | 2.099569 |
8/15/2015 | 2.846572 | -0.20878 | 2.305717 |
11/15/2015 | -2.50739 | 3.377668 | 2.402963 |
2/15/2016 | -0.39353 | -7.16959 | 2.773669 |
5/15/2016 | 2.795689 | 5.264798 | 1.947814 |
8/15/2016 | 2.20637 | -0.74237 | 1.192518 |
11/15/2016 | 5.534279 | 6.743221 | 1.950721 |
2/15/2017 | 2.469766 | -6.73855 | 2.307955 |
5/15/2017 | 1.935996 | 3.979979 | 2.322338 |
8/15/2017 | -1.94167 | -0.49026 | 2.014327 |
11/15/2017 | -0.84948 | 3.682684 | 2.014967 |
2/15/2018 | -1.83107 | -6.28961 | 2.330636 |
5/15/2018 | -1.59119 | 5.189821 | 2.388094 |
8/15/2018 | -2.54714 | -0.36878 | 2.177522 |
11/15/2018 | -4.42172 | 4.347746 | 2.068032 |
2/15/2019 | -4.23216 | -6.22962 | 2.12 |
5/15/2019 | -0.80289 | 5.109959 | 1.016503 |
8/15/2019 | 3.462172 | -0.40122 | 0.574019 |
11/15/2019 | 4.477075 | 2.737958 | 0.433426 |
2/15/2020 | 2.258426 | -7.44312 | 0.662433 |
5/15/2020 | -0.76259 | -1.76822 | 2.783459 |
8/15/2020 | -0.12583 | 1.587054 | -0.68343 |
11/15/2020 | 3.077771 | 7.743045 | 0.029415 |
2/15/2021 | 7.365388 | -4.75805 | 0.756064 |
The 'house price' data set has three variables:
'house': the growth rate in percentage of real price of houses in Sydney. For example, an observation of 2 would mean that house price has increased by 2% over the time period.
'gdp': the growth rate in percentage of Australian real gdp per capita
'interest': the growth rate in percentage of the real interest rate that is represented by the yield of 10-year Australian government bonds.
REQUIREMENT: Deliver a REPORT answering below questions (analyze and make comment)
IMPORTANT: **PLEASE, INCLUDE EXCEL FULL CALCULATION**
This question investigates the statistical properties of the house price growth rate represented
by variable 'house' in data set 'house price'.
a) Make a histogram of house price growth rate and comment on the shape of the
distribution
Please use 'bins' (categories) of length 0.5 when create the histogram. That is, the bins
should have categories of -4.50 - -4.00, -4.00- -3.50, etc up to 9.00-9.50.
Your chart should include a chart heading and axis titles.
b) Compute the following statistics for house price growth:
mean,
median,
standard deviation,
maximum, minimum, range,
upper quartile, lower quartile and inter quartile range
mean absolute deviation
c) Construct a 95% confidence interval for house price growth
d) Estimate the probability of having a house price growth rate lower than -1% (i.e. values
in the provided spreadsheet lower than -1). Compute this by estimating the proportion
of the observations where house price growth was less than -1%.
e) Using the method covered in the textbook for detecting outliers, compute the cutoff
value of the house price growth rate below which an observation would be deemed an
outlier.
f) What proportion of the observations in the data set would be considered outliers based
on the cutoff value for outlier detection
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