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Decision Alternatives States of Nature Strong Demand Weak Demand High-Rise Condo 6 4 Mid-Rise Apartments 11 4 Retirement Homes 21 -6 Originally, TWDC specialists counted
Decision Alternatives | States of Nature | |
Strong Demand | Weak Demand | |
High-Rise Condo | 6 | 4 |
Mid-Rise Apartments | 11 | 4 |
Retirement Homes | 21 | -6 |
Originally, TWDC specialists counted on 0.66 probability of strong demand.
Simple Decision Tree Part
(a) Suppose that you need to construct a simple decision tree that shows the logical sequence of the decision problem. Select the correct sketch of the decision tree based on the information above.
Note that P(S)=probability of strong demand, P(W)=probability of weak demand. Also, we use the following notations:
P1=Payoff 1 , P2=Payoff 2 , P3=Payoff 3 , P4=Payoff 4 , P5=Payoff 5 , P6=Payoff 6 .
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