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Decision Alternatives States of Nature Strong Demand Weak Demand High-Rise Condo 6 4 Mid-Rise Apartments 11 4 Retirement Homes 21 -6 Originally, TWDC specialists counted

Decision Alternatives States of Nature
Strong Demand Weak Demand
High-Rise Condo 6 4
Mid-Rise Apartments 11 4
Retirement Homes 21 -6

Originally, TWDC specialists counted on 0.66 probability of strong demand.

Simple Decision Tree Part

(a) Suppose that you need to construct a simple decision tree that shows the logical sequence of the decision problem. Select the correct sketch of the decision tree based on the information above.

Note that P(S)=probability of strong demand, P(W)=probability of weak demand. Also, we use the following notations:

P1=Payoff 1 , P2=Payoff 2 , P3=Payoff 3 , P4=Payoff 4 , P5=Payoff 5 , P6=Payoff 6 .

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