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Determine the most appropriate forecasting technique for the mortgage rates data and implement the model. Choose any one of the series below for your forecast.

Determine the most appropriate forecasting technique for the mortgage rates data and implement the model. Choose any one of the series below for your forecast.

Mortgage Rates
Fixed Rate Fixed Rate Adjustable Rate
Week Ending 30 year 15 year 1 year
1/7/2005 5.77 5.21 4.1
1/14/2005 5.74 5.19 4.1
1/21/2005 5.67 5.15 4.11
1/28/2005 5.66 5.14 4.18
2/4/2005 5.63 5.14 4.23
2/11/2005 5.57 5.1 4.11
2/18/2005 5.62 5.14 4.15
2/25/2005 5.69 5.22 4.16
3/4/2005 5.79 5.33 4.14
3/11/2005 5.85 5.38 4.24
3/18/2005 5.95 5.47 4.2
3/25/2005 6.01 5.56 4.24
4/1/2005 6.04 5.58 4.33
4/8/2005 5.93 5.48 4.23
4/15/2005 5.91 5.46 4.3
4/22/2005 5.8 5.36 4.26
4/29/2005 5.78 5.33 4.21
5/6/2005 5.75 5.31 4.22
5/13/2005 5.77 5.33 4.23
5/20/2005 5.71 5.27 4.26
5/27/2005 5.65 5.21 4.21
6/3/2005 5.62 5.2 4.26
6/10/2005 5.56 5.14 4.21
6/17/2005 5.63 5.22 4.25
6/24/2005 5.57 5.16 4.23
7/1/2005 5.53 5.12 4.24
7/8/2005 5.62 5.2 4.33
7/15/2005 5.66 5.25 4.39
7/22/2005 5.73 5.32 4.42
7/29/2005 5.77 5.34 4.46
7/1/2005 5.53 5.12 4.24
7/8/2005 5.62 5.2 4.33
7/15/2005 5.66 5.25 4.39
7/22/2005 5.73 5.32 4.42
7/29/2005 5.77 5.34 4.46
8/5/2005 5.82 5.38 4.47
8/12/2005 5.89 5.47 4.57
8/19/2005 5.8 5.4 4.58
8/26/2005 5.77 5.35 4.56
9/2/2005 5.71 5.32 4.48
9/9/2005 5.71 5.3 4.45
9/16/2005 5.74 5.32 4.46
9/23/2005 5.8 5.37 4.48
9/30/2005 5.91 5.48 4.68
10/7/2005 5.98 5.54 4.77
10/14/2005 6.03 5.62 4.85
10/21/2005 6.1 5.65 4.89
10/28/2005 6.15 5.69 4.91
11/4/2005 6.31 5.85 5.09
11/11/2005 6.36 5.89 5.12
11/18/2005 6.37 5.9 5.2
11/25/2005 6.28 5.81 5.14
12/2/2005 6.26 5.81 5.16
12/9/2005 6.32 5.87 5.16
12/16/2005 6.3 5.85 5.15
12/23/2005 6.26 5.79 5.22
12/30/2005 6.22 5.76 5.15
1/6/2006 6.21 5.76 5.16
1/13/2006 6.15 5.71 5.15
1/20/2006 6.1 5.67 5.18
1/27/2006 6.12 5.7 5.2
2/3/2006 6.23 5.81 5.33
2/10/2006 6.24 5.83 5.34
2/17/2006 6.28 5.91 5.36
2/24/2006 6.26 5.89 5.32
3/3/2006 6.24 5.89 5.34
3/10/2006 6.37 6 5.45
3/17/2006 6.34 5.98 5.37
3/24/2006 6.32 5.97 5.41
3/31/2006 6.35 6 5.51
4/7/2006 6.43 6.1 5.57
4/14/2006 6.49 6.14 5.61
4/21/2006 6.53 6.17 5.63
4/28/2006 6.58 6.21 5.68
5/5/2006 6.59 6.22 5.67
5/12/2006 6.58 6.17 5.62
5/19/2006 6.6 6.2 5.62
5/26/2006 6.62 6.23 5.61
6/2/2006 6.67 6.26 5.68
6/9/2006 6.62 6.23 5.63
6/16/2006 6.63 6.25 5.66
6/23/2006 6.71 6.36 5.75
6/30/2006 6.78 6.43 5.82
7/7/2006 6.79 6.44 5.83
7/14/2006 6.74 6.37 5.75
7/21/2006 6.8 6.41 5.8
7/28/2006 6.72 6.34 5.78
8/4/2006 6.63 6.27 5.69
8/11/2006 6.55 6.2 5.69
8/18/2006 6.52 6.2 5.65
8/25/2006 6.48 6.18 5.6
9/1/2006 6.44 6.14 5.59
9/8/2006 6.47 6.16 5.63
9/15/2006 6.43 6.11 5.6
9/22/2006 6.4 6.06 5.54
9/29/2006 6.31 5.98 5.47
10/6/2006 6.3 5.98 5.46
10/13/2006 6.37 6.06 5.56
10/20/2006 6.36 6.06 5.57
10/27/2006 6.4 6.1 5.6
11/3/2006 6.31 6.02 5.53
11/10/2006 6.33 6.04 5.55
11/17/2006 6.24 5.94 5.53
11/24/2006 6.18 5.91 5.49
12/1/2006 6.14 5.87 5.46
12/8/2006 6.11 5.84 5.43
12/15/2006 6.12 5.86 5.45
12/22/2006 6.13 5.89 5.44
12/29/2006 6.18 5.93 5.47
1/5/2007 6.18 5.94 5.42
1/12/2007 6.21 5.96 5.44
1/19/2007 6.23 5.98 5.51
1/26/2007 6.25 5.98 5.49
2/2/2007 6.34 6.06 5.54
2/9/2007 6.28 6.02 5.49
2/16/2007 6.3 6.03 5.52
2/23/2007 6.22 5.97 5.49
3/2/2007 6.18 5.92 5.49
3/9/2007 6.14 5.86 5.47
3/16/2007 6.14 5.88 5.42
3/23/2007 6.16 5.9 5.4
3/30/2007 6.16 5.86 5.43
4/6/2007 6.17 5.87 5.44
4/13/2007 6.22 5.9 5.47
4/20/2007 6.17 5.89 5.45
4/27/2007 6.16 5.87 5.43
5/4/2007 6.16 5.87 5.42
5/11/2007 6.15 5.87 5.48
5/18/2007 6.21 5.92 5.48
5/25/2007 6.37 6.06 5.64
6/1/2007 6.42 6.12 5.57
6/8/2007 6.53 6.22 5.65
6/15/2007 6.74 6.43 5.75
6/22/2007 6.69 6.37 5.66
6/29/2007 6.67 6.34 5.65
7/6/2007 6.63 6.3 5.71
7/13/2007 6.73 6.39 5.71
7/20/2007 6.73 6.38 5.72
7/27/2007 6.69 6.37 5.69
8/3/2007 6.68 6.32 5.59
8/10/2007 6.59 6.25 5.65
8/17/2007 6.62 6.3 5.67
8/24/2007 6.52 6.18 5.6
8/31/2007 6.45 6.12 5.84
9/7/2007 6.46 6.15 5.74
9/14/2007 6.31 5.97 5.66
9/21/2007 6.34 5.98 5.65
9/28/2007 6.42 6.09 5.6
10/5/2007 6.37 6.03 5.58
10/12/2007 6.4 6.06 5.73
10/19/2007 6.4 6.08 5.76
10/26/2007 6.33 5.99 5.66
11/2/2007 6.26 5.91 5.57
11/9/2007 6.24 5.9 5.5

11/16/2007
6.24
5.88
5.5
11/23/2007 6.2 5.83 5.42
11/30/2007 6.1 5.73 5.43
12/7/2007 5.96 5.65 5.46
12/14/2007 6.11 5.78 5.5
12/21/2007 6.14 5.79 5.51
12/28/2007 6.17 5.79 5.53
1/4/2008 6.07 5.68 5.47
1/11/2008 5.87 5.43 5.37
1/18/2008 5.69 5.21 5.26
1/25/2008 5.48 4.95 4.99
2/1/2008 5.68 5.17 5.05
2/8/2008 5.67 5.15 5.03
2/15/2008 5.72 5.25 5
2/22/2008 6.04 5.64 4.98
2/29/2008 6.24 5.72 5.11
3/7/2008 6.03 5.47 4.94
3/14/2008 6.13 5.6 5.14
3/21/2008 5.87 5.27 5.15
3/28/2008 5.85 5.34 5.24
4/4/2008 5.88 5.42 5.19
4/11/2008
5.88
5.42
5.18
4/18/2008 5.88 5.4 5.1
4/25/2008 6.03 5.62 5.29
5/2/2008 6.06 5.59 5.29
5/9/2008 6.05 5.6 5.29
5/16/2008 6.01 5.6 5.18
5/23/2008 5.98 5.55 5.24
5/30/2008 6.08 5.66 5.22
6/6/2008 6.09 5.65 5.06
6/13/2008 6.32 5.93 5.09
6/20/2008 6.42 6.02 5.19
6/27/2008 6.45 6.04 5.27
7/4/2008 6.35 5.92 5.17
7/11/2008 6.37 5.91 5.17
7/18/2008 6.26 5.78 5.1
7/25/2008 6.63 6.18 5.49
8/1/2008 6.52 6.07 5.27
8/8/2008 6.52 6.1 5.22
8/15/2008 6.52 6.07 5.18
8/22/2008 6.47 6 5.29
8/29/2008 6.4 5.93 5.33
9/5/2008 6.35 5.9 5.15
9/12/2008 5.93 5.54 5.21
9/19/2008 5.78 5.35 5.03
9/26/2008 6.09 5.77 5.16
10/3/2008 6.1 5.78 5.12
10/10/2008 5.94 5.63 5.15
10/17/2008 6.46 6.14 5.16
10/24/2008 6.04 5.72 5.23
10/31/2008 6.46 6.19 5.38
11/7/2008 6.2 5.88 5.25
11/14/2008 6.14 5.81 5.33
11/21/2008 6.04 5.73 5.29
11/28/2008 5.97 5.74 5.18
12/5/2008 5.53 5.33 5.02
12/12/2008 5.47 5.2 5.09
12/19/2008 5.19 4.92 4.94
12/26/2008 5.14 4.91 4.95
1/9/2009 5.01 4.62 4.95
1/16/2009 4.96 4.65 4.89
1/23/2009 5.12 4.8 4.92
1/30/2009 5.1 4.8 4
2/6/2009 5.25 4.92 4.92
2/13/2009 5.16 4.81 4.94
2/20/2009 5.04 4.68 4.8
2/27/2009 5.07 4.68 4.81
3/6/2009 5.15 4.72 4.86
3/13/2009 5.03 4.64 4.8
3/20/2009 4.98 4.61 4.91
3/27/2009 4.85 4.58 4.85
4/3/2009 4.78 4.52 4.75
4/10/2009 4.87 4.54 4.83
4/17/2009 4.82 4.48 4.91
4/24/2009 4.8 4.48 4.82
5/1/2009 4.78 4.48 4.77
5/8/2009 4.84 4.51 4.78
5/15/2009 4.86 4.52 4.71
5/22/2009 4.82 4.5 4.82
5/29/2009 4.91 4.53 4.69
6/5/2009 5.29 4.79 4.81
6/12/2009 5.59 5.06 5.04
6/19/2009 5.38 4.89 4.95
6/26/2009 5.42 4.87 4.93
7/3/2009 5.32 4.77 4.94
7/10/2009 5.2 4.69 4.82
7/17/2009 5.14 4.63 4.76
7/24/2009 5.2 4.68 4.77
7/31/2009 5.25 4.69 4.8
8/7/2009 5.22 4.63 4.78
8/14/2009 5.29 4.68 4.72
8/21/2009 5.12 4.56 4.69
8/28/2009 5.14 4.58 4.69
9/4/2009 5.08 5.54 4.62
9/11/2009 5.07 4.5 4.64
9/18/2009 5.04 4.47 4.58
9/25/2009 5.04 4.46 4.52
10/2/2009 4.94 4.36 4.49
10/9/2009 4.87 4.33 4.53
10/16/2009 4.92 4.37 4.6
10/23/2009 5 4.43 4.54
10/30/2009 5.03 4.46 4.57
11/6/2009 4.98 4.4 4.47
11/13/2009 4.91 4.36 4.46
11/20/2009 4.83 4.32 4.35
11/27/2009 4.78 4.29 4.35
12/4/2009 4.71 4.27 4.25
12/11/2009 4.81 4.32 4.24
12/18/2009 4.94 4.38 4.34
12/25/2009 5.05 4.45 4.38
1/1/2010 5.14 4.54 4.33
1/8/2010 5.09 4.5 4.31
1/15/2010 5.06 4.45 4.39
1/22/2010 4.99 4.4 4.32
1/29/2010 4.98 4.39 4.29
2/5/2010 5.01 4.4 4.22
2/12/2010 4.97 4.34 4.33
2/19/2010 4.93 4.33 4.23
2/26/2010 5.05 4.4 4.15
3/5/2010 4.97 4.33 4.27
3/12/2010 4.95 4.32 4.22
3/19/2010 4.96 4.33 4.12
3/26/2010 4.99 4.34 4.2
4/2/2010 5.08 4.39 4.05
4/9/2010 5.21 4.52 4.14
4/16/2010 5.07 4.4 4.13
4/23/2010 5.07 4.39 4.22
4/30/2010 5.06 4.39 4.25
5/7/2010 5 4.36 4.07
5/14/2010 4.93 4.3 4.02
5/21/2010 4.84 4.24 4
5/28/2010 4.78 4.21 3.95
6/4/2010 4.79 4.2 3.95
6/11/2010 4.72 4.17 3.91
6/18/2010 4.75 4.2 3.82
6/25/2010 4.69 4.13 3.77

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