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Develop a forecast for FY2021 using the two forecasting methods currently employed by the company.Comment on which of the forecasts is likely to be more
- Develop a forecast for FY2021 using the two forecasting methods currently employed by the company.Comment on which of the forecasts is likely to be more appropriate to support decisions based on your assessment of forecast accuracy from Q1. Are there any other considerations that you would recommend to Throx.
The company provides you with the following information for the past two fiscal years:
Demand Characteristic | 2019 | 2020 |
Annual Demand, sets | 26,918 | 31,763 |
Average Weekly Demand | 518 | 611 |
Standard Deviation of weekly Demand | 130 | 153 |
Product Forecasting Information
Actual Demand (Three Sock Sets) | Weighted Moving Average Fcst | Exponential Forecast | |
2017 | 18,850 | 15,500 | 16,300 |
2018 | 22,432 | 17,060 | 18,340 |
2019 | 26,918 | 20,614 | 21,613 |
2020 | 31,763 | 24,765 | 25,857 |
Weighted Moving Average uses Wt = 0.6, Wt-1=0.3 Wt-2=0.1
Exponential Smoothing uses = 0.8.
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