Develop a forecasting model using the data below. Leverage the excel functions at your disposal to tackle this big dataset. Use correct usage (keep it short and sweet) formulas in the file. Also provide a chart that plots actual demand and forecasted demands from the models in the worksheet and identify which model is the best and why?
Time Period (months) Cars sold by Toyota (in millions) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 16.919 39.384 14.114 8.588 20.397 18.78 1.38 19.747 9.231 17.527 91.561 39.35 27.851 83.257 63.729 15.943 6.536 11.185 14.785 145.519 135.126 24.629 42.593 26.402 17.947 32.299 21.855 107.995 7.854 32.775 31.148 32.306 13.462 53.48 30.696 76.034 4.734 71.186 88.028 0.916 227.061 16.767 31.038 111.313 101.323 181.749 70.227 113.369 35.068 245.815 8 Period FIT (alpha = FIT (alpha = 0.9, 6 period WMA(20% to 1st 4 0.3, = 0.3, Trend F B = 0.3, consider SMA periods and 5% to consider any any initial FIT the remaining) initial FIT value) Trend F 16 8 8 16 8 8 24.35841 8.08271 16.2757 25.07523 8.24813 16.8271 38.3011001 9.4350131 28.866087 50.0646209 12.111497 37.953123 38.303144161 7.258174091 31.04497007 20.113892347 2.4048302 17.709062 33.97241202921 4.58381111651 29.3886009127 9.03342855801 -0.707160 9.7405892 33.26181245439 3.362024033881 29.89978842044 21.6216464684483 2.361003 19.260642 19.697 30.97592963102 2.058660912991 28.91726871802 20.6579237130111 1.5937590 19.064164 17.10716666 21.49217798791-0.60497275380 22.09715074171 -0.3034879650456-3.611280 3.3077923 13.83433333 18.8162 20.20658581882 -0.76203877271:20.96862459154 19.544302617711 1.8023514 17.741951 13.0205 18.9535 15.16406857677 -1.74984149640 16.91391007317 9.28008996920469 -0.982240 10.262330 14.51033333 14.77005 14.33577033542 -1.53717766831 15.87294800374 17.946734412668 1.2444254 16.702308 26.371 16.7323 42.91643223629 5.413093001495 37.50333923479 105.319850565595 21.120277 84.199573 29.79933333 19.94425 46.93861666566 5.092114100228 41.84650256540 49.2554025281767 3.3084174 45.946985 34.211166666 18.64205 44.58656026624 3.374228600321 41.21233166594 27.5206690418272-2.470771 29.991440 44.79616666 21.67795 63.042260362746.854568176358 56.1876921863&90.2614050518988 12.57803 77.683366 53.87916666 38.32255 70.16465699763 6.916374743711 63.24828225392 71.7965292888933 5.4142887 66.382240 53.61516666 41.0728 55.9345855122 2.036425613924 53.89815989834 11.8621888045915-9.666164 21.528352 39.44433333 43.73105 38.70556277640 -2.40944708217: 41.11500985858 -4.0356162210783 -11.10423 7.0686188 34.75016666 53.27345 25.56309621142 -4.88629773205 30.44939394348 2.66826965604582 -6.994668 9.6629384 32.5725 45.25985 16.47334095691-5.8563263910822.3296673489.85017543662589 -3.723151 13.573326 42.9495 47.05725 60.94482159263 5.757782922792 55.18703866984 164.859548646795 32.907431 131.95211 54.849 49.22375 95.63326409429 12.43408897945 83.19917511484 162.978727833177 24.879372 138.09935 56.29666666 35.48155 80.37569007697 6.043705210968 74.33198486600 25.9889192368575 -12.47505 38.463972 62.30616666 27.08315 71.68414615792 2.643263104040 69.0408830538832.9406401832741-7.991951 40.932591 64.84233333 47.0425 56.66737226037 -1.43213005017/ 58.09950231054 17.2984794284311 -9.757384 27.055864 65.36933333 66.90155 40.13429702865 -4.91696355360 45.05126058224 8.29986390727093 -9.582284 17.882147 46.49933333 69.9738532.16156763387 -5.62214028618! 37.78370792005 26.7965691001917 -3.102517 29.899086 27.62083333 74.49855 22.51986597047 -6.54973137323 29.06959734371 17.912415962432 -4.436740 22.349156 41.51516666 54.7548 49.30543686875 1.143030689422 48.16240617933 118.872298338799 19.88555 98.986741 35.72533333 30.81435 34.28240717930 -2.58759862876:36.87000580815 8.8664460249604-10.08938 18.955829 36.7875 32.37215 31.10691975064 -2.7232652749033.83018502555 26.7500703668372-3.634074 30.384144 38.98766666 28.6892 28.39967577298 -2.7195680524631.11924382545 28.2615738019788 -2.446633 30.708207 38.98883333 41.22335 27.20357416905 -2.36799887203 29.57157304109 30.5469192189588 -1.354638 31.901557 37.59 39.48515 19.47636137108 -3.60474054725 23.08110191833 9.20292557153789 -5.967566 15.170491 28.50416666 40.6156 29.13303988911 -0.54441307064 29.6774529597 55.0395363024805.9872437 49.052292 32.311166666 42.4516 29.19818126171 -0.403746660661 29.60192792237 32.5448425739051 -0.585511 33.130353 39.521 29.5002 47.06040390897 3.811477025777 43.24892688319 82.8416457060931 11.156561 71.685084 35.11866666 30.1854 34.36458341025 0.002100673969 34.36248273628 2.6122616786667C -9.932502 12.544764 41.59866666 35.211748.72703655424 3.316028167047 45.41100838717 72.9110326226841 8.5824064 64.328626 54.02633333 37.987967.37044046514 6.853114877166 60.51732558795 99.1802909089611 12.663987 86.516303 45.26566666 42.977648.30632356089 0.872215235305 47.43410832558 -3.1249418078307 -13.86737 10.742429 77.993166661 52.34835118.8928626074 16.96013611482 101.9327264926 252.325239208605 48.282833 204.04240 68.11533333 53.1686 96.02391230537 7.768808480155 88.25510382521 25.0049327239247 -15.31789 40.322823 72.49933333 61.7855 78.44821498643 1.920076372671 76.52813861375 16.745730239997 -13.68896 30.434693 79.18716666 52.28175 93.18555751439 4.877907023892 88.30765049050 113.700472826805 11.844199 101.85627 81.403 90.46025 101.237067107 5.610276847597 95.62679026007 111.063029422248 8.5022821 102.56074 111.5418333 87.82555 138.2469977834 12.85635080790 125.3906469753 202.26789713778 27.587494 174.68040 85.40283333 78.387 124.5755494557 6.734551007411 117.8409984482 75.3675416821374-8.063548 83.431089 101.5031666 100.5692 126.939546175 5.725961556397 121.2135846189 111.765699882396 2.1968457 109.56885 102.1748333 72. 10885 96.83560472338 -2.54247759938 99.37808232277 24.2262367341744-18.51153 42.737769 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 4 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 175.67 63.403 276.747 155.787 125.338 220.65 540.561 199.685 230.902 73.203 12.855 76.029 41.184 6.692 29.45 23.713 15.467 55.557 80.556 157.04 24.072 12.698 3.334 6.375 9.126 51.238 13.798 48.911 22.925 26.232 42.541 55.616 5.711 0.11 11.337 39.348 14.351 26.529 67.956 81.174 27.609 20.38 18.392 27.602 16.774 3.311 7.998 1.526 11.592 124.5918333 136.983 | 117.2586666 | 151.6786666 158.7483333 173.7933333 | 169.5991666 | 230.4143333 253.128 | 245.4871666 | 231.7231666 212.976 188.8725 105.643 83.4775 49.90216666 41.65383333 42.08916666 38.67716666 45.23916666| | 60.29716666 | 59.40083333 57.565 55.54283333 47.34583333 | 35.44083333 | 17.8071666 | 16.09483333 22.13033333 25.3955 28.705 34.27416666 35.00383333 33.656 25.5225 23.59116666 25.77716666 | 21.07883333 16.231|| | 26.60516666 40.11583333 42.82783333 39.6665 40.34 40.51883333|| 31.9885 | 19.01133333 | 15.74283333 12.6005 108.30855| 152.3950912819 10.86566797550 141.5294233063 264.973556501125 41.31743 223.65612 121.4185| 172.3379736574 12.96040976013 159.3775638973 201.805828222516 17.20547 184.6003E 119.3314| 142.81374369113.156262130967 139.6574815602 57.079991774576 -20.16329 77.243282 118.16435| 198.2039757824 15.21025519876 182.9937205838 293.92710035064] 39.146801254.78026 126.47615 196.8716104261 1.39272737832 185.4788830478 171.449984113579 1.8489740 169.60101 145.04815 180.3662297383 4.954702439975 175.4115272982 119.347936779206 - 10.60126 129.94915 142.9173| 201.03160258038.580241763530 192.4513608167 227.270089115384 16.750295 210.51975 204.4438 342.028309337339.13788753130 302.8904218063 610.57075028784 101.33882 509.23190 188.6331 325.652306227126.32698969092 299.3253165362 231.173263827379 -9.600311 240.77357 183.8449315.0266764899 17.79946213047 297.2272143590 221.255573947936 -9.673552 230.92912 207.92195 | 238.5149047890 -3.96466875357:242.4795735426 38.3605099940499 -49.64774 88.008257 234.29945 146.5428731671 -24.27406018458 170.8169333523 -41.128684099732 -56.53423 15.405550 236.8962594.76840244773 -30.62030876963 125.3887112174 39.4115711978173 -24.90166 64.313231 248.52315| 43.25017672344 -35.44290498993 78.69308171341 16.5836525041619 -24.42310 41.006757 218.7082 16.94958281129 -33.3331408950 50.28272370639 50.7873144586724 -10.89385 61.681165 113.99675-11.5083953802 -32.2081033481 20.69970796790 14.9288057502818 - 16.6549231.583731 86.64975-29.9801545300 - 29.03817776388 -0.941976766141 8.5513873268667-14.28319 22.83458C 47.4203 -41.2939420272 -24.94793385611 -16.34600817101 2.3594609062712-12.41597 14.775436 45.56135 -28.4700084927-16.2313490737--12.23865941901 52.1846038195184 1.947357750.237246 51.43565 -2.18121425435 -6.41900830939 4.237794055040 87.32649507957319.6076346 77.718860 47.6388 | 53.496050995497.910900973500 45.58515002195 178.498930534094 28.430281150.06864 42.92565| 49.931572080735.262736383909 44.6688356968126.2497028353405 - 13.26499 39.514695 38.555740.673215353141.911714896643 38.76150045650 -2.8707797000768 -16.92394 14.053170 44.9158 | 28.02263626204 -1.448814485138 29.47145074720 -12.535137434597 -15.24865 2.7135220 64.04795 18.13124363473 -3.3971017487221.52834538344 -5.6589361007084 -10.14292 4.4839862 65.02165| 11.22209686845 -4.207573675851 15.42967054430 1.49651677987174 -6.150989 7.6475066 58.37685 | 22.62072541390 -0.60614239401 23.2268678079153.54306253736447.2792106 46.263851 43.45565| 18.57372010841 -1.40018768126.19.97390778973 14.320550228025 -3.451956 17.772506 15.44945 29.00507158494 1.330167508974 27.6749040759251.3394204355249 5.8874654 45.451955 13.1502] 27.96401117576 0.782961066333 27.18105010943 23.9820139386828 -1.784428 25.766442 19.6079 28.07148788353 0.627080060514 27.44440782303 24.8300695255543 -1.17693126.007001 23.13785| 34.34167766941 1.929336150994 32.41234151848 44.37492631234183.605019 40.769906 31.9803 44.567999529333.844025160741 40.72397436863 61.1320018866883 6.6401092 54.491892 33.8794 33.25779487364 0.346895203097 32.91089967056 2.92953893471704 -8.323561 11.253100 27.5721 20.67705007603 -2.63640633553:23.31345641156 -8.6928828728536 -9.084836 0.3919536 31.7605 14.39802421084 -3.47701084237.17.875035053225.65724332205976 -3.676768 9.3340117 32.2881 20.65150392624 -1.23151302135 21.88301694759 41.3986602445955.4197356 35.978924 29.2773| 16.96279437364 -1.79855837471:18.76135274836 15.1726336708079 -1.883132 17.055766 25.37385 18.89505619321 -0.93759986834 19.83265606155 26.576449922311 1.1830866 25.393365 21.964| 37.091224409533.477885074268 33.61333933525 76.1736100684373 12.355566 63.818044 20.8017157.761391964017.44533487741150.31605708666 94.3796313645718 13.705670 80.673961 23.19261 53.44729397549 4.731619600644 48.71567437485 29.9636630257509 -4.322400 34.286065 28.16895 45.28266892569 1.755563142849 43.52710578284 14.4283771749161-6.909989 21.338366 37.01455 36.55087118753 -0.66459706046:37.21546824798 12.155826752605 -5.839810 17.995637 42.70115 32.39621436393-1.469995467341 33.86620983126 24.3880384871707 -1.669344 26.057382 44.81124.8335552946 -2.87599476009:27.70955005474 13.8102692690913 -3.725134 17.535405 42.72775 13.56376396964 -4.81302473661:18.37678870625 -2.1990103553713 -6.559937 4.3609266 32.29525] 6.580091284871-5.31394349388 11.894034778753.17155447813265 -3.806744 6.9782985 20.27705 -0.70494781010 -5.7688117095155.063863899409 -2.5604887476127 -4.251044 1.6905554 80 81 62 83 84 85 86 8 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 Time Period (months) Cars sold by Toyota (in millions) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 16.919 39.384 14.114 8.588 20.397 18.78 1.38 19.747 9.231 17.527 91.561 39.35 27.851 83.257 63.729 15.943 6.536 11.185 14.785 145.519 135.126 24.629 42.593 26.402 17.947 32.299 21.855 107.995 7.854 32.775 31.148 32.306 13.462 53.48 30.696 76.034 4.734 71.186 88.028 0.916 227.061 16.767 31.038 111.313 101.323 181.749 70.227 113.369 35.068 245.815 8 Period FIT (alpha = FIT (alpha = 0.9, 6 period WMA(20% to 1st 4 0.3, = 0.3, Trend F B = 0.3, consider SMA periods and 5% to consider any any initial FIT the remaining) initial FIT value) Trend F 16 8 8 16 8 8 24.35841 8.08271 16.2757 25.07523 8.24813 16.8271 38.3011001 9.4350131 28.866087 50.0646209 12.111497 37.953123 38.303144161 7.258174091 31.04497007 20.113892347 2.4048302 17.709062 33.97241202921 4.58381111651 29.3886009127 9.03342855801 -0.707160 9.7405892 33.26181245439 3.362024033881 29.89978842044 21.6216464684483 2.361003 19.260642 19.697 30.97592963102 2.058660912991 28.91726871802 20.6579237130111 1.5937590 19.064164 17.10716666 21.49217798791-0.60497275380 22.09715074171 -0.3034879650456-3.611280 3.3077923 13.83433333 18.8162 20.20658581882 -0.76203877271:20.96862459154 19.544302617711 1.8023514 17.741951 13.0205 18.9535 15.16406857677 -1.74984149640 16.91391007317 9.28008996920469 -0.982240 10.262330 14.51033333 14.77005 14.33577033542 -1.53717766831 15.87294800374 17.946734412668 1.2444254 16.702308 26.371 16.7323 42.91643223629 5.413093001495 37.50333923479 105.319850565595 21.120277 84.199573 29.79933333 19.94425 46.93861666566 5.092114100228 41.84650256540 49.2554025281767 3.3084174 45.946985 34.211166666 18.64205 44.58656026624 3.374228600321 41.21233166594 27.5206690418272-2.470771 29.991440 44.79616666 21.67795 63.042260362746.854568176358 56.1876921863&90.2614050518988 12.57803 77.683366 53.87916666 38.32255 70.16465699763 6.916374743711 63.24828225392 71.7965292888933 5.4142887 66.382240 53.61516666 41.0728 55.9345855122 2.036425613924 53.89815989834 11.8621888045915-9.666164 21.528352 39.44433333 43.73105 38.70556277640 -2.40944708217: 41.11500985858 -4.0356162210783 -11.10423 7.0686188 34.75016666 53.27345 25.56309621142 -4.88629773205 30.44939394348 2.66826965604582 -6.994668 9.6629384 32.5725 45.25985 16.47334095691-5.8563263910822.3296673489.85017543662589 -3.723151 13.573326 42.9495 47.05725 60.94482159263 5.757782922792 55.18703866984 164.859548646795 32.907431 131.95211 54.849 49.22375 95.63326409429 12.43408897945 83.19917511484 162.978727833177 24.879372 138.09935 56.29666666 35.48155 80.37569007697 6.043705210968 74.33198486600 25.9889192368575 -12.47505 38.463972 62.30616666 27.08315 71.68414615792 2.643263104040 69.0408830538832.9406401832741-7.991951 40.932591 64.84233333 47.0425 56.66737226037 -1.43213005017/ 58.09950231054 17.2984794284311 -9.757384 27.055864 65.36933333 66.90155 40.13429702865 -4.91696355360 45.05126058224 8.29986390727093 -9.582284 17.882147 46.49933333 69.9738532.16156763387 -5.62214028618! 37.78370792005 26.7965691001917 -3.102517 29.899086 27.62083333 74.49855 22.51986597047 -6.54973137323 29.06959734371 17.912415962432 -4.436740 22.349156 41.51516666 54.7548 49.30543686875 1.143030689422 48.16240617933 118.872298338799 19.88555 98.986741 35.72533333 30.81435 34.28240717930 -2.58759862876:36.87000580815 8.8664460249604-10.08938 18.955829 36.7875 32.37215 31.10691975064 -2.7232652749033.83018502555 26.7500703668372-3.634074 30.384144 38.98766666 28.6892 28.39967577298 -2.7195680524631.11924382545 28.2615738019788 -2.446633 30.708207 38.98883333 41.22335 27.20357416905 -2.36799887203 29.57157304109 30.5469192189588 -1.354638 31.901557 37.59 39.48515 19.47636137108 -3.60474054725 23.08110191833 9.20292557153789 -5.967566 15.170491 28.50416666 40.6156 29.13303988911 -0.54441307064 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