Question
Dmitri Green estimates the cost of future projects for a large contracting firm. Dmitri uses precisely the same techniques to estimate the costs of every
Dmitri Green estimates the cost of future projects for a large contracting firm. Dmitri uses precisely the same techniques to estimate the costs of every potential job and formulates bids by adding a standard profit markup. For some companies, to which the firm offers its services, there are no competitors also seeking their business, so Dmitri's company is almost certain to get these companies as clients. For these jobs, Dmitri finds that his cost estimates are right, on average. For jobs where competitors are also vying for the business, Dmitri finds that they almost always end up costing more than he estimates.
True or False: To avoid the winner's curse, Dmitri should assume that everyone else thinks the costs are greater than his original estimate, and adjust his bid accordingly.
False
True
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