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Do you agree with the financial forecast in Exhibit 8? If so, why? If not, what specific concerns do you have? Exhibit 8 FERRARI: THE

  • Do you agree with the financial forecast in Exhibit 8? If so, why? If not, what specific concerns do you have?
    Exhibit 8
    FERRARI: THE 2015 INITIAL PUBLIC OFFERING
    Ferrari Forecast (Millions of Euro, except as noted)
    Assumptions 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
    Growth in Cars Shipped 3.6% 7.0% 5.0% 4.0% 4.0% 3.0%
    Growth in Revenue/Car 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
    Growth in Engine Revenue 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
    Growth in Other Revenue 3.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%
    Operating Margin - Cars 12.5% 13.0% 13.5% 14.0% 14.0% 14.0%
    Operating Margin - Engines 9.1% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
    Operating Margin - All Other Revenue 24.9% 25.0% 27.0% 28.0% 30.0% 30.0%
    Net Working Capital Turnover 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2
    Net Fixed Asset Turnover 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.8
    Deprec. & Amort./PP&E 34% 34% 34% 34% 34% 34%
    Financial Forecast
    Car Shipments (000s) 7.26 7.76 8.15 8.48 8.82 9.08
    Avg Revenue per Car (Euro 000s) 268 281 295 310 326 342
    Car Revenue 1,944 2,184 2,408 2,629 2,871 3,105
    Engine Revenue 311 320 330 340 350 361
    All Other Revenue 507 523 554 587 623 660
    Total Revenue 2,762 3,027 3,292 3,556 3,844 4,126
    Operating Profit - Cars 243 284 325 368 402 435
    Operating Profit - Engines 28 32 33 34 35 36
    Operating Profit - All Other Revenue 126 131 150 164 187 198
    Total Operating Profit 398 447 508 567 624 669
    Net Working Capital 1,425 1,513 1,568 1,617 1,747 1,875
    Net PP&E and Int. Assets 851 932 998 1,016 1,039 1,086
    Deprec. & Amort. 289 317 339 345 353 369
    Total Revenue Growth 18% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7%
    EBITDA Margin 25% 25% 26% 26% 25% 25%

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