Question
Download S&P500 daily index prices from Jan.1, 2021, to May. 31, 2022, from Nasdaq 2) Calculate daily returns over the sample period. 3) Divide two
Download S&P500 daily index prices from Jan.1, 2021, to May. 31, 2022, from Nasdaq
2) Calculate daily returns over the sample period.
3) Divide two sample periods: in-sample (Jan.1, 2021 - Dec. 31, 2021), out-of-sample (Jan. 1, 2022- May.31, 2022)
4) Compute "mean" and "standard deviation" for the daily returns using only over the in-sample period.
5) Calculate the 1-day VaR (99%) on a percentage basis using the calculated mean and standard deviation.
6) Using the out-of-sample period, count the number of days showing daily returns are beyond the 1-day VaR. Do you think that the 1-day VaR would be good to measure downside risk?
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