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ErenCo is an up-and-coming stone quarry company. A recent report, reflecting the general sentiment of all market participants, projected the following prices and probabilities for

ErenCo is an up-and-coming stone quarry company. A recent report, reflecting the general sentiment of all market participants, projected the following prices and probabilities for ErenCo stock on May. 17, 2016:

Probability

1/3

1/2

1/6

Stock Price

$15

$10

$6

According to the EMH, what would you expect the market price of ErenCo stock to be today? Why?

Nancy, an investor in ErenCo, decides to buy a put option on ErenCo stock with a strike price (exercise price) of $9 which expires on the third Friday of May, 2016. What would she have to pay in todays market for this option? In general, what determines the price an investor will have to pay for an option?

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