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Estimated one-year return distributions: State of the 1-Year Healthcare Inverse Biotech Economy Probability T-Bill Fund ETF Fund Poor 0.1 7% -8% 18% -19% Below average

Estimated one-year return distributions:
State of the 1-Year Healthcare Inverse Biotech
Economy Probability T-Bill Fund ETF Fund
Poor 0.1 7% -8% 18% -19%
Below average 0.2 7% 2% 23% 0%
Average 0.4 7% 14% 7% 13%
Above average 0.2 7% 25% -3% 31%
Excellent 0.1 7% 33% 2% 50%
Historical return distributions:
1-Year Healthcare Inverse Biotech
T-Bill Fund ETF Fund
Year 1 7% -8% 18% -19%
Year 2 7% 2% 23% 0%
Year 3 7% 14% 7% 13%
Year 4 7% 25% -3% 31%
Year 5 7% 33% 2% 50%
Stand-alone return and risk:
1-Year Healthcare Inverse Biotech
T-Bill Fund ETF Fund
Expected return [E(R)] 7.0% 13.5% 8.8% 14.5%
Variance (Var) 0.0% 1.4% 0.8% 3.4%
Standard deviation (SD) 0.0% 11.7% 9.1% 18.3%
Coefficient of variation (CV) 0.00 0.87 1.03 1.26
Portfolio return and risk:
E(R) of E(R) of
Portfolio Portfolio
State of the Healthcare Fund / Healthcare Fund /
Economy Inverse ETF Biotech Fund
Poor 5.0% -13.5%
Below average 12.5% 1.0%
Average 10.5% 13.5%
Above average 11.0% 28.0%
Excellent 17.5% 41.5%
Portfolio Portfolio
Healthcare Fund / Healthcare Fund /
Inverse ETF Biotech Fund
Expected return [E(R)] 11.2% 14.0%
Variance (Var) 0.1% 2.2%
Standard deviation (SD) 2.9% 15.0%
Coefficient of variation (CV) 0.26 1.07
Correlation coefficient -0.870 0.993
Market characteristic lines:
S&P 1-Year Healthcare Inverse Biotech
500 T-Bill Fund ETF Fund
Intercept 0.070 0.027 0.152 -0.019
Market beta 0.000 0.700 -0.387 1.127
Data point -15% 7.0% -7.8% 21.0% -18.8%
Data point 0% 7.0% 2.7% 15.2% -1.9%
Data point 15% 7.0% 13.2% 9.4% 15.0%
Data point 30% 7.0% 23.7% 3.6% 31.9%
Data point 45% 7.0% 34.2% -2.2% 48.8%
Market Characteristic Lines
Security market line:
1-Year Healthcare Inverse Biotech
T-Bill Fund ETF Fund
Risk-free rate 7% 7% 7% 7%
Required market return 15% 15% 15% 15%
Market beta 0.000 0.700 -0.387 1.127
Investment required return 7.00% 12.60% 3.91% 16.01%
Investment expected return 7.00% 13.50% 8.80% 14.50%
Difference 0.00% 0.90% 4.89% -1.51%
Security Market Line

Need calculations for stand alone risk and return, portfolio and risk, and market characteristic lines. Answers already completed. Just needed for understanding purposes.

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