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Estimated one-year return distributions: State of the 1-Year Healthcare Inverse Biotech Economy Probability T-Bill Fund ETF Fund Poor 0.1 7% -8% 18% -19% Below average
Estimated one-year return distributions: | |||||
State of the | 1-Year | Healthcare | Inverse | Biotech | |
Economy | Probability | T-Bill | Fund | ETF | Fund |
Poor | 0.1 | 7% | -8% | 18% | -19% |
Below average | 0.2 | 7% | 2% | 23% | 0% |
Average | 0.4 | 7% | 14% | 7% | 13% |
Above average | 0.2 | 7% | 25% | -3% | 31% |
Excellent | 0.1 | 7% | 33% | 2% | 50% |
Historical return distributions: | |||||
1-Year | Healthcare | Inverse | Biotech | ||
T-Bill | Fund | ETF | Fund | ||
Year 1 | 7% | -8% | 18% | -19% | |
Year 2 | 7% | 2% | 23% | 0% | |
Year 3 | 7% | 14% | 7% | 13% | |
Year 4 | 7% | 25% | -3% | 31% | |
Year 5 | 7% | 33% | 2% | 50% | |
Stand-alone return and risk: | |||||
1-Year | Healthcare | Inverse | Biotech | ||
T-Bill | Fund | ETF | Fund | ||
Expected return [E(R)] | 7.0% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 14.5% | |
Variance (Var) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 3.4% | |
Standard deviation (SD) | 0.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 18.3% | |
Coefficient of variation (CV) | 0.00 | 0.87 | 1.03 | 1.26 | |
Portfolio return and risk: | |||||
E(R) of | E(R) of | ||||
Portfolio | Portfolio | ||||
State of the | Healthcare Fund / | Healthcare Fund / | |||
Economy | Inverse ETF | Biotech Fund | |||
Poor | 5.0% | -13.5% | |||
Below average | 12.5% | 1.0% | |||
Average | 10.5% | 13.5% | |||
Above average | 11.0% | 28.0% | |||
Excellent | 17.5% | 41.5% | |||
Portfolio | Portfolio | ||||
Healthcare Fund / | Healthcare Fund / | ||||
Inverse ETF | Biotech Fund | ||||
Expected return [E(R)] | 11.2% | 14.0% | |||
Variance (Var) | 0.1% | 2.2% | |||
Standard deviation (SD) | 2.9% | 15.0% | |||
Coefficient of variation (CV) | 0.26 | 1.07 | |||
Correlation coefficient | -0.870 | 0.993 | |||
Market characteristic lines: | |||||
S&P | 1-Year | Healthcare | Inverse | Biotech | |
500 | T-Bill | Fund | ETF | Fund | |
Intercept | 0.070 | 0.027 | 0.152 | -0.019 | |
Market beta | 0.000 | 0.700 | -0.387 | 1.127 | |
Data point | -15% | 7.0% | -7.8% | 21.0% | -18.8% |
Data point | 0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 15.2% | -1.9% |
Data point | 15% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 15.0% |
Data point | 30% | 7.0% | 23.7% | 3.6% | 31.9% |
Data point | 45% | 7.0% | 34.2% | -2.2% | 48.8% |
Market Characteristic Lines | |||||
Security market line: | |||||
1-Year | Healthcare | Inverse | Biotech | ||
T-Bill | Fund | ETF | Fund | ||
Risk-free rate | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | |
Required market return | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | |
Market beta | 0.000 | 0.700 | -0.387 | 1.127 | |
Investment required return | 7.00% | 12.60% | 3.91% | 16.01% | |
Investment expected return | 7.00% | 13.50% | 8.80% | 14.50% | |
Difference | 0.00% | 0.90% | 4.89% | -1.51% | |
Security Market Line |
Need calculations for stand alone risk and return, portfolio and risk, and market characteristic lines. Answers already completed. Just needed for understanding purposes.
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